As of October 24, 2026, 08:18 PM ET, Polymarket traders price November 30 at 79.4% in Serbian presidential election called by...? — $10.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, November 30, is priced at 79.4%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.3 pts; past week: +25.8 pts.
Since October 01, 2026, November 30 has traded between 53.8% and 95.5%. It opened at 67.0% and last traded at 75.3%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 75.8% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 54.4% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 58.4% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 53.8% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 58.7% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 55.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 75.3% |
November 30 is favored at 79.4%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 30 | 79¢ | 79.4% | +0.3 pts | $1.2K | 11.4% |
| October 31 | 28¢ | 27.5% | — | $2.1K | 19.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 25¢ (bid 67¢ / ask 92¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$10.8K has been traded on this event in total, $90 of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
On September 27, 2026, Aleksandar Vučić resigned as President of Serbia. This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Serbian presidential election is called by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An election is called when it has been declared under the relevant Serbian electoral, legal, or constitutional procedures, to take place on a specific date, and the date of the election has been publicly announced. A statement of intention to call the election will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Serbia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 773 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opulent-Communicant | Yes | 773 | $614 |
| Required-Horn | No | 300 | $62 |
| Cheery-Science | No | 295 | $61 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 162 | $33 |
| 0xe3aeb10c… | No | 72 | $15 |
| Mellow-Settlement | Yes | 69 | $55 |
| Known-Use | Yes | 50 | $40 |
| Good-Gram-Prostacyclin | No | 50 | $10 |
| Pointed-Wilderness | No | 30 | $6 |
| Mysterious-Offense | Yes | 20 | $16 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:32 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 91.6% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 11:37 AM ET | No | BUY | 13.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 12:54 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 49.0% | $37 |
| Oct 23, 07:58 PM ET | No | BUY | 16.1% | $8 |
| Oct 23, 04:02 PM ET | No | BUY | 11.3% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 10:27 AM ET | No | BUY | 15.7% | $5 |
| Oct 23, 05:13 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 42.0% | $9 |
| Oct 22, 08:25 PM ET | No | SELL | 9.8% | $11 |
| Oct 19, 05:23 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 94.8% | $5 |
| Oct 19, 03:49 AM ET | No | BUY | 80.0% | $80 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is November 30 at 79.4%. Next is October 31 at 27.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/serbian-presidential-election-called-byptptpt?via=bro
$10.8K in total volume, with $90 traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
November 30, priced at 79.4% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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