As of October 24, 2026, 07:58 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Mario Zamora Gastélum at 58.5% in Sinaloa Governor Election Winner — $51.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Mario Zamora Gastélum, is priced at 58.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +19.6 pts; past week: +19.1 pts; past month: +57.6 pts.
Since August 05, 2026, Mario Zamora Gastélum has traded between 0.9% and 44.0%. It opened at 32.5% and last traded at 44.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 16.2% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 28.6% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 31.3% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 31.6% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 41.9% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 38.9% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 44.0% |
Mario Zamora Gastélum is favored at 58.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mario Zamora Gastélum | 58¢ | 58.5% | +19.6 pts | $3.2K | 6.2% |
| Candidate A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Imelda Castro Castro | 35¢ | 35.0% | -19.0 pts | $18.2K | 35.1% |
| María Teresa Guerra Ochoa | 2¢ | 2.4% | +0.8 pts | $10.5K | 20.3% |
| Paloma Sánchez Ramos | 2¢ | 2.1% | +1.5 pts | $1.5K | 3.0% |
| Graciela Domínguez Nava | 0¢ | 0.5% | — | $1.2K | 2.3% |
| Jesús Alfonso Ibarra Ramos | 0¢ | 0.5% | — | $1.1K | 2.1% |
| Juan de Dios Gámez Mendívil | 0¢ | 0.5% | — | $1.1K | 2.2% |
| Ricardo Madrid Pérez | 0¢ | 0.5% | — | $1.2K | 2.4% |
| Kristiam Alexis Espinoza García | 0¢ | 0.5% | — | $1.1K | 2.2% |
| Tomás de Jesús López Bajo | 0¢ | 0.5% | — | $1.4K | 2.7% |
| Rodolfo Valenzuela Sánchez | 0¢ | 0.5% | — | $950 | 1.8% |
| Guillermo Romero Rodríguez | 0¢ | 0.5% | — | $1.2K | 2.4% |
| Sergio Torres Félix | 0¢ | 0.5% | — | $1.0K | 2.0% |
| Jesús Fernando García Hernández | 0¢ | 0.4% | — | $784 | 1.5% |
| Estrella Palacios Domínguez | 0¢ | 0.3% | — | $687 | 1.3% |
| Omar López Campos | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.5K | 2.8% |
| Roxana Rubio Valdez | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.2K | 2.3% |
| María Fernanda Rivera | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $606 | 1.2% |
| Gerardo Octavio Vargas Landeros | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.3K | 2.6% |
| Lucila Ayala de Moreschi | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.2K | 2.3% |
| Eduardo Ortiz Hernández | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $724 | 1.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 42¢ (bid 37¢ / ask 80¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$51.8K has been traded on this event in total, $369 of it in the last 24 hours, across 48 markets.
This market is scheduled to end June 06, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sinaloa on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 3,315 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 3,315 | $1.4K |
| 0x4c907875… | Yes | 1,093 | $640 |
| Honored-Utility | Yes | 1,083 | $633 |
| Awesome-Availability | Yes | 1,029 | $602 |
| Gummy-Webmail | Yes | 61 | $36 |
| Rowdy-Tenement | No | 60 | $25 |
| Frayed-Hostel | Yes | 35 | $20 |
| Frail-Prayer | No | 30 | $13 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 25 | $14 |
| Nonstop-Knitting | Yes | 22 | $13 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:03 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 40.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 05:07 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 50.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 05:07 PM ET | No | SELL | 51.3% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 05:02 PM ET | No | BUY | 50.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 06:16 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 54.0% | $11 |
| Oct 24, 05:27 AM ET | No | BUY | 55.5% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 03:57 AM ET | No | BUY | 55.5% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 03:48 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 43.0% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 03:47 AM ET | No | BUY | 46.0% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 03:40 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 53.0% | $11 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Mario Zamora Gastélum at 58.5%. Next is Candidate A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/sinaloa-governor-election-winner-20260803170329?via=bro
$51.8K in total volume, with $369 traded in the last 24 hours across 48 markets.
The market is scheduled to end June 06, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Mario Zamora Gastélum, priced at 58.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.