As of October 24, 2026, 08:17 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Janet Gatehouse at 63.0% in Sorell Mayoral Election Winner — $12.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Janet Gatehouse, is priced at 63.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -12.0 pts; past month: -6.5 pts.
Since September 03, 2026, Janet Gatehouse has traded between 45.0% and 84.5%. It opened at 45.0% and last traded at 63.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 55.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 59.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 53.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 70.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 69.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 59.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 63.0% |
Janet Gatehouse is favored at 63.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Janet Gatehouse | 63¢ | 63.0% | — | $5.8K | 48.5% |
| Candidate A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Kristian Horvath | 36¢ | 36.5% | -0.5 pts | $5.6K | 46.5% |
| Marisol Miro Quesada Le Roux | 2¢ | 2.2% | +1.1 pts | $606 | 5.1% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 6¢ (bid 60¢ / ask 66¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$12.0K has been traded on this event in total, $209 of it in the last 24 hours, across 30 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Sorell Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Resolution source: https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 674 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fearful-Congress | Yes | 674 | $425 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 495 | $183 |
| Awesome-Availability | No | 475 | $176 |
| Dismal-Moustache | Yes | 399 | $251 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 116 | $43 |
| Substantial-Trunk | Yes | 48 | $30 |
| Rowdy-Tenement | No | 48 | $18 |
| Oily-Notoriety | Yes | 47 | $29 |
| Unique-Dinner | Yes | 46 | $29 |
| Known-Use | No | 35 | $13 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:21 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 34.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 08:43 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 27.0% | $14 |
| Oct 24, 07:45 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 29.0% | $15 |
| Oct 24, 07:44 AM ET | No | BUY | 31.0% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 07:25 AM ET | No | SELL | 29.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 07:25 AM ET | No | SELL | 72.0% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 11:37 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 64.0% | $15 |
| Oct 23, 11:37 PM ET | No | BUY | 64.0% | $15 |
| Oct 23, 11:37 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.8% | $23 |
| Oct 23, 12:49 PM ET | No | BUY | 66.0% | $33 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Janet Gatehouse at 63.0%. Next is Candidate A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/sorell-mayoral-election-winner-2026?via=bro
$12.0K in total volume, with $209 traded in the last 24 hours across 30 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/.
Janet Gatehouse, priced at 63.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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