As of October 24, 2026, 07:52 PM ET, Polymarket traders price >5.0% at 78.8% in South Africa Annual Inflation 2026 — $100.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, >5.0%, is priced at 78.8%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.8 pts; past week: -6.5 pts; past month: +45.2 pts.
Since January 26, 2026, >5.0% has traded between 3.4% and 86.0%. It opened at 39.5% and last traded at 78.9%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 82.6% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 83.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 86.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 82.2% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 79.6% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 78.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 78.9% |
>5.0% is favored at 78.8%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| >5.0% | 79¢ | 78.8% | +0.8 pts | $27.7K | 27.6% |
| 4.7-5.0% | 13¢ | 13.4% | +0.4 pts | $14.2K | 14.2% |
| 4.4-4.7% | 5¢ | 5.1% | — | $31.1K | 31.0% |
| 4.1-4.4% | 3¢ | 2.6% | -0.4 pts | $5.9K | 5.8% |
| 2.6-2.9% | 1¢ | 0.9% | — | $3.8K | 3.8% |
| 3.5-3.8% | 0¢ | 0.5% | — | $3.3K | 3.3% |
| 3.2-3.5% | 0¢ | 0.4% | — | $3.3K | 3.2% |
| 3.8-4.1% | 0¢ | 0.4% | — | $5.2K | 5.1% |
| <2.6% | 0¢ | 0.3% | — | $2.8K | 2.8% |
| 2.9-3.2% | 0¢ | 0.2% | -0.1 pts | $3.2K | 3.1% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 78¢ / ask 80¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$100.4K has been traded on this event in total, $287 of it in the last 24 hours, across 10 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 20, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa. This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report. The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,286 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 2,286 | $485 |
| Wan-Gymnastics | Yes | 958 | $755 |
| Pure-Threat | Yes | 753 | $593 |
| Oddball-Poison | No | 319 | $68 |
| Equal-Brass | Yes | 268 | $211 |
| Awesome-Availability | Yes | 258 | $203 |
| Outgoing-Age | Yes | 231 | $182 |
| Few-Prevention | No | 231 | $49 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 168 | $36 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | Yes | 113 | $89 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:11 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 12.8% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 05:11 PM ET | No | SELL | 86.9% | $17 |
| Oct 24, 10:10 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 77.6% | $23 |
| Oct 23, 04:22 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 5.0% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 12:06 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 76.7% | $8 |
| Oct 23, 11:16 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 76.8% | $23 |
| Oct 23, 03:06 AM ET | No | SELL | 21.0% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 07:17 PM ET | No | SELL | 18.0% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 02:04 PM ET | No | SELL | 89.3% | $20 |
| Oct 22, 02:02 PM ET | No | BUY | 17.6% | $10 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is >5.0% at 78.8%. Next is 4.7-5.0% at 13.4%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/south-africa-annual-inflation-2026?via=bro
$100.4K in total volume, with $287 traded in the last 24 hours across 10 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 20, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859.
>5.0%, priced at 78.8% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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