Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

South Carolina Senate Election: Greenville County Winner

As of October 24, 2026, 08:14 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Darline Graham Nordone (R) at 89.5% in South Carolina Senate Election: Greenville County Winner — $18.3K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $137.
Leading outcome
Darline Graham Nordone (R)
90%
A 89.5% price implies roughly a 90-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
Darline Graham Nordone (R)89.5%
Person A50.0%
Bid
88¢
Ask
91¢
Spread
3¢
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Range since October 20, 2026: 53.0% – 89.5% · Opened at 53.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
South Carolina Senate Election: Greenville County Winner
Category
Senate, Midterms, Politics, Elections, US Election, South Carolina Midterm
Scheduled end
November 03, 2026, 06:59 PM ET
Total volume
$18.3K
Volume (24h)
$137
Liquidity
$23.0K
Markets
7
Leading outcome
Darline Graham Nordone (R) — 89.5%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Darline Graham Nordone (R), is priced at 89.5%.

Since October 20, 2026, Darline Graham Nordone (R) has traded between 53.0% and 89.5%. It opened at 53.0% and last traded at 89.5%.

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Darline Graham Nordone (R) is favored at 89.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Darline Graham Nordone (R)90¢89.5%—$13.6K74.2%
Person A50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person B50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person C50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person D50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Other50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Annie Andrews (D)8¢8.5%—$4.7K25.8%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 88¢ / ask 91¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$18.3K has been traded on this event in total, $137 of it in the last 24 hours, across 7 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 06:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Greenville County in the election for United States Senator from South Carolina, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of South Carolina, including the Election Commission and the government of Greenville County.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 703 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Expert-BonfireYes703$629
Wry-Friction-BanquetteNo494$52
Dismal-MoustacheYes482$432
0xa5ef39c3…No450$47
Cuddly-FutureYes310$277
Belated-GlueNo108$11
Awesome-AvailabilityYes100$90
Profitable-HippodromeNo100$10
0xd45bf309…No100$10
Essential-DiaristNo53$6

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $163 at 88.0%SELL Yes — $91 at 87.0%BUY Yes — $80 at 89.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 05:28 PM ETNoBUY10.0%$1
Oct 24, 05:56 AM ETNoBUY12.0%$2
Oct 24, 05:22 AM ETYesBUY91.0%$5
Oct 24, 04:15 AM ETNoSELL92.0%$2
Oct 24, 04:10 AM ETYesBUY9.0%$5
Oct 24, 04:00 AM ETYesBUY7.0%$1
Oct 24, 04:00 AM ETYesBUY89.0%$18
Oct 23, 01:35 PM ETYesBUY10.0%$2
Oct 23, 05:12 AM ETNoSELL9.0%$0
Oct 23, 02:33 AM ETYesSELL86.5%$13

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of South Carolina Senate Election: Greenville County Winner?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Darline Graham Nordone (R) at 89.5%. Next is Person A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/south-carolina-senate-election-greenville-county-winner?via=bro

How much money has been traded on South Carolina Senate Election: Greenville County Winner?

$18.3K in total volume, with $137 traded in the last 24 hours across 7 markets.

When does South Carolina Senate Election: Greenville County Winner end?

The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 06:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of South Carolina Senate Election: Greenville County Winner, according to Polymarket traders?

Darline Graham Nordone (R), priced at 89.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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