As of October 24, 2026, 08:59 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 94.0% in South Dakota passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting? — $2.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 94.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +3.0 pts; past week: +3.9 pts.
Since October 01, 2026, Yes has traded between 85.0% and 97.8%. It opened at 94.6% and last traded at 90.8%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 91.1% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 90.2% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 90.2% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 90.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 90.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 89.9% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 90.8% |
Yes is favored at 94.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 94¢ | 94.0% | +3.0 pts | $2.4K | 100.0% |
| No | 6¢ | 6.0% | -3.0 pts | $2.4K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 93¢ / ask 95¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$2.4K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
South Dakota Constitutional Amendment J is a legislatively referred measure that is scheduled to appear as a ballot measure in South Dakota in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would amend the South Dakota Constitution to disqualify individuals who are not citizens of the United States from voting in any election in South Dakota. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the South Dakota statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of South Dakota, including the South Dakota Secretary of State (https://sdsos.gov/).
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 355 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Measly-Gelatin | Yes | 355 | $334 |
| Oddball-Poison | No | 110 | $7 |
| Essential-Diarist | No | 96 | $6 |
| Bouncy-Saving | No | 90 | $5 |
| Straight-Wrinkle | No | 44 | $3 |
| Complex-Optimist | No | 40 | $2 |
| Grim-Garage | No | 31 | $2 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 30 | $28 |
| Plump-Implementation | No | 26 | $2 |
| Skeletal-Liver | Yes | 20 | $19 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 09:36 AM ET | No | SELL | 8.7% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 09:36 AM ET | No | SELL | 8.9% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 09:35 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 89.8% | $22 |
| Oct 23, 09:35 AM ET | No | SELL | 10.2% | $3 |
| Oct 19, 03:14 AM ET | No | SELL | 8.7% | $1 |
| Oct 19, 03:14 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 91.2% | $18 |
| Oct 17, 11:56 PM ET | No | BUY | 10.9% | $2 |
| Oct 17, 06:44 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 89.5% | $1 |
| Oct 17, 06:44 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 89.5% | $8 |
| Oct 17, 06:44 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 89.6% | $99 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 94.0%. Next is No at 6.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/south-dakota-passes-ballot-measure-banning-noncitizens-from-voting?via=bro
$2.4K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Yes, priced at 94.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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