As of October 24, 2026, 06:23 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2027 at 35.0% in SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by ___? — $29.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, 2027, is priced at 35.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -4.0 pts; past week: +9.5 pts.
Since October 09, 2026, December 31, 2027 has traded between 22.0% and 45.0%. It opened at 45.0% and last traded at 35.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 25.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 23.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 24.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 24.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 26.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 38.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 35.0% |
December 31, 2027 is favored at 35.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2027 | 35¢ | 35.0% | -4.0 pts | $14.3K | 48.3% |
| June 30, 2027 | 15¢ | 15.0% | -3.0 pts | $15.3K | 51.7% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 34¢ / ask 36¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$29.6K has been traded on this event in total, $1.3K of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX makes a mobile phone plan available for purchase in the United States between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". “SpaceX” refers to the company known as SpaceX at market creation. Changes to the names or branding of SpaceX, its subsidiaries, acquired carriers, or their mobile services will not affect resolution. A mobile phone plan means a mobile service sold directly by SpaceX or an entity it directly or indirectly controls that gives the subscriber a U.S. phone number with voice calls, text messaging, and mobile data. Voice calls and text messaging available only through third-party internet applications will not satisfy these requirements. A qualifying plan may use SpaceX’s own network, another carrier’s network, or a combination of satellite and terrestrial networks. Plans offered by a carrier that SpaceX acquires a controlling interest in will count once the acquisition is completed and the plan satisfies all other requirements of these rules. Satellite services sold as an add-on to another carrier's plan, such as T-Mobile's T-Satellite, will not count. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 474 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Authorized-Mandolin | No | 474 | $308 |
| Charming-Grape | No | 453 | $295 |
| Hideous-Racer | Yes | 410 | $143 |
| Writhing-Round | Yes | 300 | $105 |
| Unlined-Pole | No | 298 | $194 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 247 | $160 |
| Modern-Malice | Yes | 201 | $70 |
| Blind-Cockpit | Yes | 106 | $37 |
| Rotten-Atheist | No | 104 | $68 |
| 0x0e3daaf1… | Yes | 100 | $35 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:40 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 34.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 05:11 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 16.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 05:11 PM ET | No | SELL | 85.0% | $17 |
| Oct 24, 04:27 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 35.0% | $84 |
| Oct 24, 04:26 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 36.0% | $43 |
| Oct 24, 01:15 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 36.0% | $11 |
| Oct 24, 01:15 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 37.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 01:07 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 36.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 12:45 PM ET | No | BUY | 84.0% | $17 |
| Oct 24, 12:45 PM ET | No | BUY | 83.0% | $83 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31, 2027 at 35.0%. Next is June 30, 2027 at 15.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/spacex-becomes-a-us-mobile-carrier-by?via=bro
$29.6K in total volume, with $1.3K traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, 2027, priced at 35.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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