Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Spain General Election: Adelante Andalucía wins a seat?

As of October 24, 2026, 09:19 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 76.0% in Spain General Election: Adelante Andalucía wins a seat? — $360 traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $51.
Leading outcome
Yes
76%
A 76.0% price implies roughly a 76-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +0.5 pts
Yes76.0%
No24.0%
Bid
65¢
Ask
87¢
Spread
22¢
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Range since October 23, 2026: 74.5% – 76.0% · Opened at 74.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Spain General Election: Adelante Andalucía wins a seat?
Category
Spain, World, Politics, Elections, Spain Elections, Global Elections, International Election Props
Scheduled end
November 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$360
Volume (24h)
$51
Liquidity
$467
Markets
1
Leading outcome
Yes — 76.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 76.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts.

Since October 23, 2026, Yes has traded between 74.5% and 76.0%. It opened at 74.5% and last traded at 76.0%.

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Yes is favored at 76.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Yes76¢76.0%+0.5 pts$360100.0%
No24¢24.0%-0.5 pts$360100.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 22¢ (bid 65¢ / ask 87¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$360 has been traded on this event in total, $51 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end November 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Legislative elections to elect the 350 members of the Congress of Deputies of Spain are scheduled to take place on November 29, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Adelante Andalucía (AA) wins at least one seat in the Congress of Deputies of Spain as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by November 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Seats and votes will be attributed according to the electoral list on which they were obtained, as reported in the official results, regardless of the party membership of individual candidates. Lists will be attributed as follows: PSOE: lists of the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party, including the Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC) lists in Catalonia. PP: lists of the People's Party, including the joint UPN–PP list in Navarre. Broad Front (FA): all Broad Front lists, including Catalunya en Comú in Catalonia, Compromís–Valencian Front in the Valencian Community, and Canarian People’s Unity (UPC) in the Canary Islands. ERC: Republican Left of Catalonia lists, including the joint ERC–Podem lists in Catalonia. Podemos: only lists presented by Podemos on its own. CCa: Canarian Coalition lists, including the joint CCa–1º CAN lists in the Canary Islands. … (condensed)

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 161 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Belated-GlueNo161$39
Subtle-ProductivityYes100$76
Dense-LungeYes78$59
Gloomy-FrigateNo22$5
Primary-ProfileYes10$8
Exemplary-DecisionmakingNo5$1

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Yes — $69 at 87.8%BUY No — $29 at 58.0%BUY Yes — $28 at 55.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 01:47 PM ETNoBUY16.0%$8
Oct 23, 05:13 PM ETYesBUY87.8%$69
Oct 22, 03:13 PM ETYesBUY55.0%$28
Oct 22, 03:06 PM ETYesBUY40.0%$20
Oct 22, 01:10 AM ETNoBUY64.0%$7
Oct 22, 01:10 AM ETYesSELL39.0%$4
Oct 21, 09:21 PM ETNoBUY58.0%$29
Oct 21, 08:29 PM ETNoBUY52.0%$5
Oct 21, 07:46 PM ETNoBUY48.0%$24

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Spain General Election: Adelante Andalucía wins a seat??

As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 76.0%. Next is No at 24.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/spain-general-election-adelante-andalucia-wins-a-seat?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Spain General Election: Adelante Andalucía wins a seat??

$360 in total volume, with $51 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does Spain General Election: Adelante Andalucía wins a seat? end?

The market is scheduled to end November 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Spain General Election: Adelante Andalucía wins a seat?, according to Polymarket traders?

Yes, priced at 76.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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