As of October 24, 2026, 09:19 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 76.0% in Spain General Election: Adelante Andalucía wins a seat? — $360 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 76.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts.
Since October 23, 2026, Yes has traded between 74.5% and 76.0%. It opened at 74.5% and last traded at 76.0%.
Yes is favored at 76.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 76¢ | 76.0% | +0.5 pts | $360 | 100.0% |
| No | 24¢ | 24.0% | -0.5 pts | $360 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 22¢ (bid 65¢ / ask 87¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$360 has been traded on this event in total, $51 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end November 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Legislative elections to elect the 350 members of the Congress of Deputies of Spain are scheduled to take place on November 29, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Adelante Andalucía (AA) wins at least one seat in the Congress of Deputies of Spain as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by November 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Seats and votes will be attributed according to the electoral list on which they were obtained, as reported in the official results, regardless of the party membership of individual candidates. Lists will be attributed as follows: PSOE: lists of the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party, including the Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC) lists in Catalonia. PP: lists of the People's Party, including the joint UPN–PP list in Navarre. Broad Front (FA): all Broad Front lists, including Catalunya en Comú in Catalonia, Compromís–Valencian Front in the Valencian Community, and Canarian People’s Unity (UPC) in the Canary Islands. ERC: Republican Left of Catalonia lists, including the joint ERC–Podem lists in Catalonia. Podemos: only lists presented by Podemos on its own. CCa: Canarian Coalition lists, including the joint CCa–1º CAN lists in the Canary Islands. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 161 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue | No | 161 | $39 |
| Subtle-Productivity | Yes | 100 | $76 |
| Dense-Lunge | Yes | 78 | $59 |
| Gloomy-Frigate | No | 22 | $5 |
| Primary-Profile | Yes | 10 | $8 |
| Exemplary-Decisionmaking | No | 5 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 01:47 PM ET | No | BUY | 16.0% | $8 |
| Oct 23, 05:13 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 87.8% | $69 |
| Oct 22, 03:13 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 55.0% | $28 |
| Oct 22, 03:06 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 40.0% | $20 |
| Oct 22, 01:10 AM ET | No | BUY | 64.0% | $7 |
| Oct 22, 01:10 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 39.0% | $4 |
| Oct 21, 09:21 PM ET | No | BUY | 58.0% | $29 |
| Oct 21, 08:29 PM ET | No | BUY | 52.0% | $5 |
| Oct 21, 07:46 PM ET | No | BUY | 48.0% | $24 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 76.0%. Next is No at 24.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/spain-general-election-adelante-andalucia-wins-a-seat?via=bro
$360 in total volume, with $51 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Yes, priced at 76.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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