Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Spain General Election: Catalonia Winner

As of October 24, 2026, 06:32 PM ET, Polymarket traders price PSOE at 87.5% in Spain General Election: Catalonia Winner — $3.2K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $515.
Leading outcome
PSOE
88%
A 87.5% price implies roughly a 88-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +15.5 pts
PSOE87.5%
Party A50.0%
Bid
85¢
Ask
90¢
Spread
5¢
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Range since October 22, 2026: 73.0% – 87.0% · Opened at 77.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Spain General Election: Catalonia Winner
Category
Spain, World, Politics, Catalonia, Elections, Spain Elections, Global Elections, International Election Props
Scheduled end
November 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$3.2K
Volume (24h)
$515
Liquidity
$24.5K
Markets
37
Leading outcome
PSOE — 87.5%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, PSOE, is priced at 87.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +15.5 pts.

Since October 22, 2026, PSOE has traded between 73.0% and 87.0%. It opened at 77.5% and last traded at 87.0%.

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

PSOE is favored at 87.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
PSOE88¢87.5%+15.5 pts$96430.1%
Party A50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party B50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party C50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party D50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party E50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party F50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party G50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party H50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party I50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party J50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party K50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party L50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party M50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party N50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party O50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party P50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party Q50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party R50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party S50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party T50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party U50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party V50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party W50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party X50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party Y50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party Z50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party AA50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party AB50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party AC50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party AD50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Other50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
PP7¢6.8%+3.6 pts$2226.9%
Broad Front (FA)6¢5.7%+1.5 pts$40212.6%
Vox6¢5.5%-2.0 pts$86026.9%
Junts4¢4.0%-0.1 pts$56417.6%
ERC3¢2.6%—$1885.9%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 5¢ (bid 85¢ / ask 90¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$3.2K has been traded on this event in total, $515 of it in the last 24 hours, across 37 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end November 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Legislative elections to elect the 350 members of the Congress of Deputies of Spain are scheduled to take place on November 29, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of Deputies of Spain in the constituencies of Catalonia (Barcelona, Girona, Lleida, and Tarragona) as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by November 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will be ranked by the number of seats won by their electoral lists (candidaturas) in these constituencies, attributed as set out below. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by their lists in these constituencies, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats and votes will be attributed according to the electoral list on which they were obtained, as reported in the official results, regardless of the party membership of individual candidates. … (condensed)

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 367 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Treasured-Liner-CheddarYes367$321
0xa5ef39c3…No208$26
Belated-GlueNo207$26
Irritating-VentiYes183$160
Muted-PrimaryYes110$96
Whimsical-Plaster-CelsiusNo106$13
Direct-ChainstayNo92$11
Unselfish-Mineral-SundayYes70$61
Adored-TurningNo60$8
0xf768d6c6…No22$3

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $260 at 89.0%BUY No — $235 at 86.5%BUY Yes — $227 at 81.3%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 01:50 PM ETNoBUY15.0%$2
Oct 24, 01:46 PM ETYesBUY92.0%$5
Oct 24, 01:46 PM ETYesBUY81.3%$227
Oct 24, 01:12 PM ETNoBUY22.0%$1
Oct 24, 12:10 PM ETYesBUY87.0%$1
Oct 24, 07:18 AM ETNoBUY96.9%$39
Oct 24, 03:39 AM ETYesBUY83.0%$17
Oct 24, 03:32 AM ETNoBUY22.0%$2
Oct 24, 02:10 AM ETYesBUY8.0%$6
Oct 23, 07:42 PM ETYesBUY13.0%$3

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Spain General Election: Catalonia Winner?

As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is PSOE at 87.5%. Next is Party A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/spain-general-election-catalonia-winner?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Spain General Election: Catalonia Winner?

$3.2K in total volume, with $515 traded in the last 24 hours across 37 markets.

When does Spain General Election: Catalonia Winner end?

The market is scheduled to end November 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Spain General Election: Catalonia Winner, according to Polymarket traders?

PSOE, priced at 87.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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