As of October 24, 2026, 06:29 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 5 at 21.5% in Spain General Election: Junts # of seats? — $3.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 5, is priced at 21.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -16.0 pts.
Since October 22, 2026, 5 has traded between 17.0% and 30.0%. It opened at 17.0% and last traded at 21.0%.
5 is favored at 21.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 22¢ | 21.5% | -16.0 pts | $833 | 24.8% |
| 7 | 22¢ | 21.5% | +1.0 pts | $572 | 17.0% |
| 6 | 18¢ | 17.5% | -1.0 pts | $444 | 13.2% |
| 8+ | 14¢ | 14.0% | -10.5 pts | $369 | 11.0% |
| 4 | 13¢ | 13.0% | -2.0 pts | $456 | 13.6% |
| <4 | 10¢ | 9.5% | -6.0 pts | $682 | 20.3% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 19¢ (bid 12¢ / ask 31¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$3.4K has been traded on this event in total, $1.6K of it in the last 24 hours, across 6 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Legislative elections to elect the 350 members of the Congress of Deputies of Spain are scheduled to take place on November 29, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Together for Catalonia (Junts) in the Congress of Deputies of Spain as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by November 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. Seats and votes will be attributed according to the electoral list on which they were obtained, as reported in the official results, regardless of the party membership of individual candidates. Lists will be attributed as follows: PSOE: lists of the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party, including the Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC) lists in Catalonia. PP: lists of the People's Party, including the joint UPN–PP list in Navarre. Broad Front (FA): all Broad Front lists, including Catalunya en Comú in Catalonia, Compromís–Valencian Front in the Valencian Community, and Canarian People’s Unity (UPC) in the Canary Islands. ERC: Republican Left of Catalonia lists, including the joint ERC–Podem lists in Catalonia. Podemos: only lists presented by Podemos on its own. CCa: Canarian Coalition lists, including the joint CCa–1º CAN lists in the Canary Islands. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 352 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 352 | $76 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 240 | $188 |
| Oddball-Poison | No | 55 | $43 |
| Plump-Implementation | No | 39 | $31 |
| Jealous-Bat | Yes | 25 | $5 |
| Direct-Chainstay | Yes | 24 | $5 |
| Evil-Row | No | 22 | $17 |
| Tempting-Skullcap-Starboard | No | 20 | $16 |
| Gripping-Abolishment | No | 20 | $16 |
| Zigzag-Conspirator-Glee | No | 7 | $6 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:49 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 25.0% | $48 |
| Oct 24, 05:49 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 29.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 05:49 PM ET | No | BUY | 88.0% | $13 |
| Oct 24, 05:49 PM ET | No | BUY | 88.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 05:49 PM ET | No | BUY | 81.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 05:49 PM ET | No | BUY | 81.0% | $12 |
| Oct 24, 04:04 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 10.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 02:55 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 24.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 02:54 PM ET | No | SELL | 68.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 02:54 PM ET | No | BUY | 74.0% | $10 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is 5 at 21.5%. Next is 7 at 21.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/spain-general-election-junts-of-seats?via=bro
$3.4K in total volume, with $1.6K traded in the last 24 hours across 6 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
5, priced at 21.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.