Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Spain General Election: PSOE % of vote?

As of October 24, 2026, 06:25 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 28-30% at 34.0% in Spain General Election: PSOE % of vote? — $5.1K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $1.9K.
Leading outcome
28-30%
34%
A 34.0% price implies roughly a 34-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −4.5 pts
28-30%34.0%
26-28%26.0%
Bid
31¢
Ask
37¢
Spread
6¢
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Range since October 23, 2026: 30.0% – 33.0% · Opened at 30.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Spain General Election: PSOE % of vote?
Category
PSOE, Spain, World, Politics, Elections, Spain Elections, Global Elections, International Election Props
Scheduled end
November 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$5.1K
Volume (24h)
$1.9K
Liquidity
$24.2K
Markets
5
Leading outcome
28-30% — 34.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, 28-30%, is priced at 34.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -4.5 pts.

Since October 23, 2026, 28-30% has traded between 30.0% and 33.0%. It opened at 30.0% and last traded at 33.0%.

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

28-30% is favored at 34.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
28-30%34¢34.0%-4.5 pts$60811.9%
26-28%26¢26.0%—$1.0K20.0%
30%+22¢22.5%+0.5 pts$1.6K31.0%
24-26%14¢13.5%-9.5 pts$1.5K29.0%
<24%5¢5.2%+3.9 pts$4118.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 6¢ (bid 31¢ / ask 37¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$5.1K has been traded on this event in total, $1.9K of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end November 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Legislative elections to elect the 350 members of the Congress of Deputies of Spain are scheduled to take place on November 29, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of the valid votes cast in the election to the Congress of Deputies of Spain received by the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by November 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The vote share will be calculated as the total number of valid votes received by the lists attributed to PSOE divided by the total number of valid votes cast, as reported in the official results. Seats and votes will be attributed according to the electoral list on which they were obtained, as reported in the official results, regardless of the party membership of individual candidates. Lists will be attributed as follows: PSOE: lists of the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party, including the Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC) lists in Catalonia. PP: lists of the People's Party, including the joint UPN–PP list in Navarre. Broad Front (FA): all Broad Front lists, including Catalunya en Comú in Catalonia, Compromís–Valencian Front in the Valencian Community, and Canarian People’s Unity (UPC) in the Canary Islands. … (condensed)

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 229 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
0xa5ef39c3…No229$151
Belated-GlueYes96$33
Evil-RowYes49$17
Muted-PrimaryYes26$9
Direct-ChainstayYes25$9
Dense-WhipYes21$7
Attentive-CrewmanYes20$7
Plump-ImplementationNo20$13
Sparse-CookieYes8$3
Watery-TugYes4$1

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $128 at 85.0%BUY No — $90 at 90.0%BUY Yes — $83 at 20.9%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 05:26 PM ETNoBUY78.0%$43
Oct 24, 04:25 PM ETNoBUY90.0%$90
Oct 24, 04:21 PM ETYesSELL10.0%$0
Oct 24, 01:33 PM ETNoSELL78.0%$0
Oct 24, 01:32 PM ETNoSELL81.0%$0
Oct 24, 01:01 PM ETYesBUY21.0%$7
Oct 24, 12:37 PM ETNoBUY85.0%$7
Oct 24, 12:37 PM ETNoBUY84.3%$10
Oct 24, 12:37 PM ETNoBUY85.0%$7
Oct 24, 12:37 PM ETNoBUY85.0%$10

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Spain General Election: PSOE % of vote??

As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is 28-30% at 34.0%. Next is 26-28% at 26.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/spain-general-election-psoe-of-vote?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Spain General Election: PSOE % of vote??

$5.1K in total volume, with $1.9K traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.

When does Spain General Election: PSOE % of vote? end?

The market is scheduled to end November 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Spain General Election: PSOE % of vote?, according to Polymarket traders?

28-30%, priced at 34.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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