As of October 24, 2026, 06:25 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 28-30% at 34.0% in Spain General Election: PSOE % of vote? — $5.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 28-30%, is priced at 34.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -4.5 pts.
Since October 23, 2026, 28-30% has traded between 30.0% and 33.0%. It opened at 30.0% and last traded at 33.0%.
28-30% is favored at 34.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28-30% | 34¢ | 34.0% | -4.5 pts | $608 | 11.9% |
| 26-28% | 26¢ | 26.0% | — | $1.0K | 20.0% |
| 30%+ | 22¢ | 22.5% | +0.5 pts | $1.6K | 31.0% |
| 24-26% | 14¢ | 13.5% | -9.5 pts | $1.5K | 29.0% |
| <24% | 5¢ | 5.2% | +3.9 pts | $411 | 8.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 6¢ (bid 31¢ / ask 37¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$5.1K has been traded on this event in total, $1.9K of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Legislative elections to elect the 350 members of the Congress of Deputies of Spain are scheduled to take place on November 29, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of the valid votes cast in the election to the Congress of Deputies of Spain received by the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by November 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The vote share will be calculated as the total number of valid votes received by the lists attributed to PSOE divided by the total number of valid votes cast, as reported in the official results. Seats and votes will be attributed according to the electoral list on which they were obtained, as reported in the official results, regardless of the party membership of individual candidates. Lists will be attributed as follows: PSOE: lists of the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party, including the Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC) lists in Catalonia. PP: lists of the People's Party, including the joint UPN–PP list in Navarre. Broad Front (FA): all Broad Front lists, including Catalunya en Comú in Catalonia, Compromís–Valencian Front in the Valencian Community, and Canarian People’s Unity (UPC) in the Canary Islands. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 229 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 229 | $151 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 96 | $33 |
| Evil-Row | Yes | 49 | $17 |
| Muted-Primary | Yes | 26 | $9 |
| Direct-Chainstay | Yes | 25 | $9 |
| Dense-Whip | Yes | 21 | $7 |
| Attentive-Crewman | Yes | 20 | $7 |
| Plump-Implementation | No | 20 | $13 |
| Sparse-Cookie | Yes | 8 | $3 |
| Watery-Tug | Yes | 4 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:26 PM ET | No | BUY | 78.0% | $43 |
| Oct 24, 04:25 PM ET | No | BUY | 90.0% | $90 |
| Oct 24, 04:21 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 10.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 01:33 PM ET | No | SELL | 78.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 01:32 PM ET | No | SELL | 81.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 01:01 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 21.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 12:37 PM ET | No | BUY | 85.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 12:37 PM ET | No | BUY | 84.3% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 12:37 PM ET | No | BUY | 85.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 12:37 PM ET | No | BUY | 85.0% | $10 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is 28-30% at 34.0%. Next is 26-28% at 26.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/spain-general-election-psoe-of-vote?via=bro
$5.1K in total volume, with $1.9K traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
28-30%, priced at 34.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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