As of October 24, 2026, 06:36 PM ET, Polymarket traders price PP at 85.5% in Spain General Election: Toledo Winner — $4.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, PP, is priced at 85.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +17.5 pts.
Since October 22, 2026, PP has traded between 58.5% and 85.5%. It opened at 58.5% and last traded at 85.5%.
PP is favored at 85.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PP | 86¢ | 85.5% | +17.5 pts | $1.4K | 33.1% |
| Party A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party AA | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party AB | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party AC | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party AD | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Vox | 10¢ | 9.5% | -1.0 pts | $768 | 17.8% |
| PSOE | 6¢ | 6.0% | -10.5 pts | $726 | 16.8% |
| Broad Front (FA) | 1¢ | 0.9% | — | $629 | 14.6% |
| Podemos | 1¢ | 0.8% | +0.6 pts | $768 | 17.8% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 5¢ (bid 83¢ / ask 88¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$4.3K has been traded on this event in total, $251 of it in the last 24 hours, across 36 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Legislative elections to elect the 350 members of the Congress of Deputies of Spain are scheduled to take place on November 29, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of Deputies of Spain in the constituency of Toledo as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by November 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will be ranked by the number of seats won by their electoral lists (candidaturas) in the constituency of Toledo, attributed as set out below. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by their lists in the constituency of Toledo, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats and votes will be attributed according to the electoral list on which they were obtained, as reported in the official results, regardless of the party membership of individual candidates. Lists will be attributed as follows: PSOE: lists of the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party, including the Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC) lists in Catalonia. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 564 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 564 | $82 |
| Unselfish-Mineral-Sunday | Yes | 502 | $429 |
| Treasured-Liner-Cheddar | Yes | 256 | $219 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 228 | $33 |
| Large-Octet | Yes | 101 | $86 |
| Muted-Primary | Yes | 63 | $54 |
| Pointed-Wilderness | No | 60 | $9 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 54 | $8 |
| Golden-Panpipe | No | 43 | $6 |
| Silent-Rowboat | Yes | 40 | $34 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:07 PM ET | No | SELL | 12.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 05:02 AM ET | No | BUY | 21.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 04:52 AM ET | No | BUY | 21.0% | $4 |
| Oct 23, 11:00 PM ET | No | SELL | 99.8% | $20 |
| Oct 23, 06:09 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 0.1% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 06:09 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.1% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 06:08 PM ET | No | BUY | 91.0% | $5 |
| Oct 23, 06:08 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 10.0% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 06:08 PM ET | No | SELL | 19.0% | $4 |
| Oct 23, 06:08 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $20 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is PP at 85.5%. Next is Party A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/spain-general-election-toledo-winner?via=bro
$4.3K in total volume, with $251 traded in the last 24 hours across 36 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
PP, priced at 85.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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