As of October 24, 2026, 08:18 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 70%+ at 33.0% in Spain General Election: Turnout — $10.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 70%+, is priced at 33.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -6.0 pts; past week: +2.0 pts.
Since October 12, 2026, 70%+ has traded between 18.5% and 52.5%. It opened at 18.5% and last traded at 39.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 37.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 31.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 31.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 34.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 35.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 52.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 39.5% |
70%+ is favored at 33.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70%+ | 33¢ | 33.0% | -6.0 pts | $4.2K | 40.0% |
| 68-70% | 22¢ | 21.5% | -4.0 pts | $1.4K | 12.9% |
| 66-68% | 16¢ | 15.5% | -12.0 pts | $986 | 9.4% |
| 64-66% | 10¢ | 10.2% | -0.4 pts | $728 | 6.9% |
| 62-64% | 10¢ | 10.0% | +1.5 pts | $2.1K | 19.8% |
| <62% | 4¢ | 4.3% | -2.6 pts | $1.2K | 11.1% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 22¢ (bid 22¢ / ask 44¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$10.5K has been traded on this event in total, $491 of it in the last 24 hours, across 6 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
A general election is scheduled to be held in Spain on November 29, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Spanish general election to the Congress of Deputies, defined as the total number of votes cast (votantes) divided by the total number of registered voters (electores). (see 2023 example: https://www.boe.es/boe/dias/2023/09/01/pdfs/BOE-A-2023-18907.pdf) If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by November 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by the Spanish government, including the Spanish Ministry of the Interior (https://infoelectoral.interior.gob.es/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 789 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kaleidoscopic-Revenge | No | 789 | $529 |
| Muted-Primary | Yes | 611 | $202 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 379 | $254 |
| Profuse-Occupation | Yes | 291 | $96 |
| Rash-Dozen | No | 245 | $164 |
| Buoyant-Offense | Yes | 234 | $77 |
| Shy-Songbird-Swing | Yes | 214 | $71 |
| Bumpy-Conscience | No | 115 | $77 |
| Known-Use | No | 113 | $76 |
| Expensive-Movement | Yes | 100 | $33 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 11:40 AM ET | No | BUY | 75.6% | $105 |
| Oct 24, 11:23 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 25.0% | $18 |
| Oct 24, 05:02 AM ET | No | SELL | 73.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 04:51 AM ET | No | BUY | 63.0% | $44 |
| Oct 24, 01:52 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 44.0% | $20 |
| Oct 24, 01:29 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 25.0% | $5 |
| Oct 23, 02:37 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 46.6% | $100 |
| Oct 23, 02:02 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 36.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 12:42 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 36.0% | $5 |
| Oct 23, 09:34 AM ET | No | BUY | 62.0% | $25 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is 70%+ at 33.0%. Next is 68-70% at 21.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/spain-general-election-turnout?via=bro
$10.5K in total volume, with $491 traded in the last 24 hours across 6 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
70%+, priced at 33.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.