Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Spain General Election: Vox % of vote?

As of October 24, 2026, 06:30 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 18-20% at 39.5% in Spain General Election: Vox % of vote? — $3.9K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $1.8K.
Leading outcome
18-20%
40%
A 39.5% price implies roughly a 40-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +2.5 pts
18-20%39.5%
20-22%23.0%
Bid
38¢
Ask
41¢
Spread
3¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since October 22, 2026: 33.0% – 43.5% · Opened at 43.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Spain General Election: Vox % of vote?
Category
VOX, Spain, World, Politics, Elections, Spain Elections, Global Elections, International Election Props
Scheduled end
November 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$3.9K
Volume (24h)
$1.8K
Liquidity
$43.9K
Markets
5
Leading outcome
18-20% — 39.5%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, 18-20%, is priced at 39.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +2.5 pts.

Since October 22, 2026, 18-20% has traded between 33.0% and 43.5%. It opened at 43.5% and last traded at 39.5%.

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

18-20% is favored at 39.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
18-20%40¢39.5%+2.5 pts$91223.2%
20-22%23¢23.0%+8.0 pts$66116.8%
16-18%20¢20.0%-6.0 pts$43010.9%
22%+9¢9.0%-7.0 pts$1.6K40.0%
<16%6¢5.5%-7.5 pts$3539.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 38¢ / ask 41¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$3.9K has been traded on this event in total, $1.8K of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end November 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Legislative elections to elect the 350 members of the Congress of Deputies of Spain are scheduled to take place on November 29, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of the valid votes cast in the election to the Congress of Deputies of Spain received by Vox. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by November 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The vote share will be calculated as the total number of valid votes received by the lists attributed to Vox divided by the total number of valid votes cast, as reported in the official results. Seats and votes will be attributed according to the electoral list on which they were obtained, as reported in the official results, regardless of the party membership of individual candidates. Lists will be attributed as follows: PSOE: lists of the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party, including the Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC) lists in Catalonia. PP: lists of the People's Party, including the joint UPN–PP list in Navarre. Broad Front (FA): all Broad Front lists, including Catalunya en Comú in Catalonia, Compromís–Valencian Front in the Valencian Community, and Canarian People’s Unity (UPC) in the Canary Islands. … (condensed)

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 274 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Unselfish-Mineral-SundayYes274$108
0xa5ef39c3…No219$132
Belated-GlueNo153$92
Stimulating-SpasmYes53$21
Direct-ChainstayNo20$12
Pointless-CasketYes20$8
Known-UseYes20$8
Pesky-GlutamateYes20$8
Babyish-StarboardYes20$8
Gripping-AbolishmentNo20$12

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $455 at 91.0%BUY No — $135 at 90.0%BUY No — $95 at 90.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 06:30 PM ETNoBUY62.0%$12
Oct 24, 05:46 PM ETNoBUY73.0%$15
Oct 24, 05:14 PM ETYesSELL3.0%$0
Oct 24, 05:00 PM ETYesBUY8.0%$2
Oct 24, 05:00 PM ETYesBUY32.0%$6
Oct 24, 05:00 PM ETYesBUY26.0%$5
Oct 24, 04:56 PM ETYesBUY8.0%$0
Oct 24, 04:48 PM ETYesSELL3.0%$0
Oct 24, 04:24 PM ETNoBUY91.0%$455
Oct 24, 12:35 PM ETNoBUY91.0%$73

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Spain General Election: Vox % of vote??

As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is 18-20% at 39.5%. Next is 20-22% at 23.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/spain-general-election-vox-of-vote?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Spain General Election: Vox % of vote??

$3.9K in total volume, with $1.8K traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.

When does Spain General Election: Vox % of vote? end?

The market is scheduled to end November 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Spain General Election: Vox % of vote?, according to Polymarket traders?

18-20%, priced at 39.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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