As of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 57.0% in Spain General Election: Vox wins a constituency? — $70 traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 57.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +2.0 pts.
Since October 22, 2026, No has traded between 52.5% and 58.0%. It opened at 56.5% and last traded at 52.5%.
No is favored at 57.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 57¢ | 57.0% | -2.0 pts | $70 | 100.0% |
| Yes | 43¢ | 43.0% | +2.0 pts | $70 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 28¢ (bid 29¢ / ask 57¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$70 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end November 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Legislative elections to elect the 350 members of the Congress of Deputies of Spain are scheduled to take place on November 29, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vox receives more valid votes than any other candidacy in at least one of the 52 constituencies of the Congress of Deputies of Spain in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by November 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to Vox. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, or coalition agreements. If Vox is tied for the most valid votes in a constituency, that constituency will not qualify. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Spanish Ministry of the Interior (https://infoelectoral.interior.gob.es/).
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 30 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rowdy-Tenement | Yes | 30 | $13 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 30 | $17 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 11:29 PM ET | No | BUY | 68.0% | $20 |
| Oct 21, 07:46 PM ET | No | BUY | 65.0% | $13 |
| Oct 21, 07:35 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 21.0% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 57.0%. Next is Yes at 43.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/spain-general-election-vox-wins-a-constituency?via=bro
$70 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 57.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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