As of October 24, 2026, 08:20 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Hakeem Jeffries at 90.0% in Speaker of the House after the midterms? — $8.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Hakeem Jeffries, is priced at 90.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past week: -1.5 pts; past month: +11.5 pts.
Since April 08, 2026, Hakeem Jeffries has traded between 41.0% and 91.5%. It opened at 41.0% and last traded at 89.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 91.5% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 91.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 91.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 89.5% |
Hakeem Jeffries is favored at 90.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hakeem Jeffries | 90¢ | 90.0% | +0.5 pts | $6.7K | 79.8% |
| Mike Johnson | 4¢ | 4.5% | +0.7 pts | $301 | 3.6% |
| Jim Jordan | 4¢ | 4.2% | -0.1 pts | $262 | 3.1% |
| Katherine Clark | 4¢ | 3.9% | +0.2 pts | $301 | 3.6% |
| Steve Scalise | 4¢ | 3.6% | -0.1 pts | $206 | 2.5% |
| Pete Aguilar | 1¢ | 1.4% | -0.1 pts | $628 | 7.5% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 89¢ / ask 91¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$8.4K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 28 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 796 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Short-Term-Criminal | Yes | 796 | $716 |
| Serpentine-Illusion | Yes | 517 | $465 |
| Shameless-Hub | No | 396 | $40 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 367 | $37 |
| Skeletal-Liver | No | 300 | $30 |
| Lone-Thorn | Yes | 281 | $253 |
| Vivacious-Fondue | No | 200 | $20 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 189 | $19 |
| Cultivated-Dandelion | Yes | 160 | $144 |
| Grim-Garage | No | 157 | $16 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 08:55 AM ET | No | SELL | 10.0% | $6 |
| Oct 19, 01:29 PM ET | No | BUY | 11.0% | $2 |
| Oct 19, 01:29 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 89.0% | $8 |
| Oct 19, 01:29 PM ET | No | BUY | 10.0% | $2 |
| Oct 19, 01:29 PM ET | No | BUY | 10.0% | $9 |
| Oct 18, 02:51 PM ET | No | BUY | 9.0% | $14 |
| Oct 18, 12:34 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 91.0% | $15 |
| Oct 15, 03:02 PM ET | No | SELL | 8.0% | $0 |
| Oct 15, 06:45 AM ET | No | SELL | 8.0% | $0 |
| Oct 15, 12:22 AM ET | No | SELL | 8.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Hakeem Jeffries at 90.0%. Next is Mike Johnson at 4.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/speaker-of-the-house-after-the-midterms?via=bro
$8.4K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 28 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Hakeem Jeffries, priced at 90.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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