As of October 24, 2026, 09:08 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 61.0% in Will S&P Global (SPGI) beat quarterly earnings? — $1.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 61.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +2.0 pts; past week: +0.5 pts.
Since October 16, 2026, Yes has traded between 53.5% and 70.0%. It opened at 70.0% and last traded at 53.5%.
Yes is favored at 61.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 61¢ | 61.0% | +2.0 pts | $1.8K | 100.0% |
| No | 39¢ | 39.0% | -2.0 pts | $1.8K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 60¢ / ask 62¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$1.8K has been traded on this event in total, $1.3K of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 09:00 AM ET.
As of market creation, S&P Global is estimated to release earnings on October 27, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for S&P Global’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $4.51 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if S&P Global reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $4.51 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If S&P Global releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/SPGI/earnings
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 364 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Insubstantial-Coffee | Yes | 364 | $222 |
| Awesome-Availability | No | 218 | $85 |
| Scary-Neck-Vascular | No | 125 | $49 |
| Drab-Bustle | No | 100 | $39 |
| Quizzical-Hire | Yes | 75 | $46 |
| Nutty-Hyacinth | No | 75 | $29 |
| Impassioned-Chastity | No | 75 | $29 |
| Diligent-Effort | Yes | 59 | $36 |
| 0x6fdb1f7a… | Yes | 50 | $30 |
| Straight-Wrinkle | Yes | 50 | $30 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 08:33 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 64.8% | $259 |
| Oct 24, 08:33 PM ET | No | BUY | 43.0% | $22 |
| Oct 24, 08:01 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 52.9% | $404 |
| Oct 24, 08:01 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 56.0% | $28 |
| Oct 23, 07:16 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 45.0% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 07:15 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 54.0% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 05:15 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 44.0% | $18 |
| Oct 23, 02:29 AM ET | No | BUY | 45.0% | $18 |
| Oct 22, 04:16 AM ET | No | BUY | 44.0% | $44 |
| Oct 21, 06:07 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 59.0% | $11 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 61.0%. Next is No at 39.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/spgi-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-10-27-2026-4pt51?via=bro
$1.8K in total volume, with $1.3K traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 09:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/SPGI/earnings.
Yes, priced at 61.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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