As of October 24, 2026, 07:56 PM ET, Polymarket traders price <970m at 98.5% in "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by October 31? — $59.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, <970m, is priced at 98.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.1 pts; past week: +0.5 pts; past month: +10.5 pts.
Since September 23, 2026, <970m has traded between 13.0% and 99.2%. It opened at 13.0% and last traded at 98.6%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 98.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 98.3% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 98.6% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 98.8% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 98.7% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 98.6% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 98.6% |
<970m is favored at 98.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <970m | 98¢ | 98.5% | -0.1 pts | $25.5K | 43.0% |
| 975 - 980m | 1¢ | 0.9% | — | $6.9K | 11.6% |
| 970 - 975m | 1¢ | 0.7% | — | $8.5K | 14.4% |
| 990m+ | 0¢ | 0.4% | — | $6.4K | 10.8% |
| 980 - 985m | 0¢ | 0.3% | — | $5.1K | 8.6% |
| 985 - 990m | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $6.9K | 11.6% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 97¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$59.3K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 6 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 07:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by October 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and October 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including October 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolution source: https://www.the-numbers.com/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 6,592 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yearly-Takeover | Yes | 6,592 | $6.5K |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 6,518 | $98 |
| Rude-Vessel | No | 4,607 | $69 |
| Mataty1 | Yes | 3,447 | $3.4K |
| Upright-Appellation | Yes | 1,635 | $1.6K |
| Descriptive-Embossing | Yes | 1,080 | $1.1K |
| Straight-Wrinkle | No | 912 | $14 |
| Known-Use | No | 520 | $8 |
| Superficial-Darkness | Yes | 490 | $483 |
| Earnest-Rawhide | No | 213 | $3 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 09:13 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 97.5% | $15 |
| Oct 21, 08:00 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.2% | $0 |
| Oct 21, 11:17 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 97.9% | $39 |
| Oct 20, 02:21 PM ET | No | BUY | 2.5% | $1 |
| Oct 19, 04:50 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 98.5% | $1.1K |
| Oct 18, 02:30 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 0.8% | $2 |
| Oct 18, 02:30 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 0.8% | $1 |
| Oct 16, 08:52 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 0.6% | $2 |
| Oct 15, 05:20 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.2% | $1 |
| Oct 14, 03:30 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 98.5% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is <970m at 98.5%. Next is 975 - 980m at 0.9%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/spider-man-brand-new-day-total-domestic-gross-by-october-31?via=bro
$59.3K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 6 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 07:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.the-numbers.com/.
<970m, priced at 98.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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