As of October 24, 2026, 08:22 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 79.5% in SSI announces it has achieved SSI by December 31? — $5.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 79.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +7.0 pts; past week: +8.0 pts; past month: +4.0 pts.
Since August 11, 2026, No has traded between 68.5% and 95.0%. It opened at 93.5% and last traded at 79.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 81.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 86.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 83.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 87.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 86.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 79.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 79.5% |
No is favored at 79.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 80¢ | 79.5% | -7.0 pts | $5.9K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 20¢ | 20.5% | +7.0 pts | $5.9K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 20¢ / ask 21¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$5.9K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Safe Superintelligence Inc. or an official representative of the company announces that it has created a safe superintelligence (SSI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying statements must unambiguously state that SSI has achieved or created a safe superintelligence. For example, SSI describing a released product or system as a safe superintelligence would qualify. Statements that merely allude to the possibility of a safe superintelligence, indicate progress toward it, suggest that SSI is close to achieving it, or are otherwise ambiguous will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Safe Superintelligence Inc. and its official representatives; informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Safe Superintelligence Inc. or its official representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Note: This market will resolve solely based on a qualifying announcement by Safe Superintelligence Inc. or an official representative. Whether or not a safe superintelligence was actually achieved, or whether it is publicly accessible, will not be considered for resolution.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,105 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flimsy-Chorus | Yes | 1,105 | $227 |
| NoSteinNoGate | No | 698 | $555 |
| Sardonic-Cue | No | 289 | $230 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 284 | $58 |
| Bright-Charge-Guacamole | No | 153 | $121 |
| 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda | No | 150 | $119 |
| Polished-Hexagon | No | 109 | $87 |
| Straight-Wrinkle | Yes | 103 | $21 |
| Purple-Son | No | 77 | $62 |
| Responsible-Concept | No | 57 | $45 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 07:19 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 16.0% | $2 |
| Oct 13, 04:48 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 17.0% | $9 |
| Oct 12, 09:13 PM ET | No | SELL | 82.0% | $1 |
| Oct 11, 10:09 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 15.0% | $0 |
| Oct 11, 08:20 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 16.0% | $1 |
| Oct 11, 05:09 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 24.0% | $15 |
| Oct 11, 05:09 PM ET | No | BUY | 75.0% | $38 |
| Oct 11, 05:09 PM ET | No | BUY | 74.0% | $15 |
| Oct 11, 05:09 PM ET | No | BUY | 74.0% | $47 |
| Oct 11, 05:09 PM ET | No | BUY | 74.0% | $15 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 79.5%. Next is Yes at 20.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ssi-announces-it-has-achieved-ssi-by-december-31-20260811190054539?via=bro
$5.9K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 79.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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