As of October 24, 2026, 06:36 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 36.5% in SSI public model released by…? — $137.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 36.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -3.0 pts; past week: -3.0 pts; past month: -33.5 pts.
Since September 22, 2026, December 31 has traded between 25.5% and 74.0%. It opened at 25.5% and last traded at 36.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 33.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 36.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 36.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 44.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 46.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 39.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 36.5% |
December 31 is favored at 36.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 36¢ | 36.5% | -3.0 pts | $8.1K | 5.9% |
| November 30 | 22¢ | 22.0% | -3.0 pts | $9.2K | 6.7% |
| October 31 | 5¢ | 5.0% | +0.5 pts | $33.3K | 24.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 5¢ (bid 34¢ / ask 39¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$137.8K has been traded on this event in total, $598 of it in the last 24 hours, across 3 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Safe Superintelligence Inc. (SSI) releases a model, and that model is made available to the general public between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A qualifying model must be an AI model released by SSI or associated with SSI and confirmed as such by SSI or by a consensus of credible reporting. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by SSI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SSI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 556 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corrupt-Privacy | No | 556 | $353 |
| Grubby-Chandelier | Yes | 308 | $112 |
| Exalted-Thirst | Yes | 308 | $112 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 247 | $90 |
| Attentive-Crewman | Yes | 158 | $58 |
| Unusual-Snug-Bongo | No | 118 | $75 |
| Smart-Homework | No | 82 | $52 |
| Straight-Wrinkle | No | 61 | $39 |
| Judicious-Corsage-Transaction | No | 60 | $38 |
| Oddball-Poison | Yes | 60 | $22 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 10:08 AM ET | No | SELL | 63.0% | $13 |
| Oct 24, 09:41 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 36.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 09:41 AM ET | No | SELL | 65.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 09:21 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 21.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 08:17 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 32.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 05:43 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 23.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 05:41 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 23.0% | $15 |
| Oct 24, 05:41 AM ET | No | BUY | 77.0% | $15 |
| Oct 24, 05:41 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 24.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 05:41 AM ET | No | BUY | 76.0% | $152 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 36.5%. Next is November 30 at 22.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ssi-public-model-released-by-20260810094604188?via=bro
$137.8K in total volume, with $598 traded in the last 24 hours across 3 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, priced at 36.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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