As of October 24, 2026, 08:59 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Mat Siscoe at 92.5% in St. Catharines, ON Mayoral Election Winner — $2.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Mat Siscoe, is priced at 92.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +1.0 pts; past month: -2.0 pts.
Since August 24, 2026, Mat Siscoe has traded between 86.0% and 94.5%. It opened at 86.0% and last traded at 92.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 94.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 93.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 92.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 93.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 92.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 93.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 92.5% |
Mat Siscoe is favored at 92.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mat Siscoe | 92¢ | 92.5% | — | $1.6K | 66.6% |
| Person A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Jimmy Jackson | 5¢ | 4.6% | +1.4 pts | $171 | 7.2% |
| Ann-Marie Zammit | 3¢ | 3.4% | -0.9 pts | $320 | 13.5% |
| Anthony A. Adeoye | 3¢ | 2.9% | -1.5 pts | $303 | 12.7% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 91¢ / ask 94¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$2.4K has been traded on this event in total, $199 of it in the last 24 hours, across 27 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The 2026 St. Catharines, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of St. Catharines, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from St. Catharines, Ontario.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 332 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dull-Universe | Yes | 332 | $307 |
| Awesome-Availability | Yes | 286 | $265 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 207 | $16 |
| Snappy-Rooster | No | 182 | $14 |
| Straight-Wrinkle | No | 86 | $6 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 64 | $5 |
| Wan-Gymnastics | Yes | 60 | $56 |
| Grim-Garage | No | 51 | $4 |
| Plump-Implementation | No | 32 | $2 |
| Arctic-Kickoff | Yes | 30 | $28 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:42 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 4.4% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 04:21 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 91.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 04:20 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 91.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 04:19 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 91.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 04:19 PM ET | No | BUY | 8.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 04:19 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.7% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 04:19 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 04:14 PM ET | No | SELL | 95.3% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 04:14 PM ET | No | BUY | 8.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 04:14 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.4% | $13 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is Mat Siscoe at 92.5%. Next is Person A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/st-catharines-mayoral-election-winner?via=bro
$2.4K in total volume, with $199 traded in the last 24 hours across 27 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Mat Siscoe, priced at 92.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.