Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Stablecoins depeg before 2027?

As of October 24, 2026, 07:47 PM ET, Polymarket traders price PYUSD at 8.5% in Stablecoins depeg before 2027? — $304.6K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $27.
Leading outcome
PYUSD
8%
A 8.5% price implies roughly a 8-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −0.1 pts7D +0.2 pts30D +4.0 pts
PYUSD8.5%
USD16.0%
Bid
1¢
Ask
16¢
Spread
15¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since December 29, 2025: 3.0% – 43.5% · Opened at 13.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Stablecoins depeg before 2027?
Category
protocol-risk, Crypto, Stablecoins
Scheduled end
January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET
Total volume
$304.6K
Volume (24h)
$27
Liquidity
$11.6K
Markets
9
Leading outcome
PYUSD — 8.5%
Resolution source
https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3APYUSDUSD

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, PYUSD, is priced at 8.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.1 pts; past week: +0.2 pts; past month: +4.0 pts.

Since December 29, 2025, PYUSD has traded between 3.0% and 43.5%. It opened at 13.5% and last traded at 8.5%.

DayClose
Oct 15, 20268.1%
Oct 16, 20268.4%
Oct 18, 20268.2%
Oct 19, 20268.3%
Oct 20, 20265.1%
Oct 22, 20267.3%
Oct 23, 20268.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

PYUSD is favored at 8.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
PYUSD8¢8.5%-0.1 pts$1.4K0.5%
USD16¢6.0%+0.5 pts$16.4K5.4%
USD06¢6.0%—$1.7K0.6%
USDTb4¢4.4%—$1.4K0.5%
DAI4¢3.7%—$4.1K1.3%
USDS3¢3.5%—$1.2K0.4%
GHO3¢2.9%+0.1 pts$1.6K0.5%
USDE2¢1.9%—$9.1K3.0%
USDC1¢1.2%—$267.8K87.9%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 15¢ (bid 1¢ / ask 16¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$304.6K has been traded on this event in total, $27 of it in the last 24 hours, across 9 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to “Yes” immediately if all Pyth 1-minute candles for PYUSD-USD for any 24-hour period are below 98 cents, for candles between 27 Oct ’25 15:00 and 31 Dec ’26 23:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Below 98 cents means all candles in the period have a final “High” price below 0.98000 (i.e., 0.97999 or lower). A 24-hour period of PYUSD below 98 cents that starts on the last day in 2026 will count. The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the PYUSD-USD “High” prices currently available at https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3APYUSDUSD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. To see the “High” prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value after “H” at the top of the chart. Please note that this market is about the price according to Pyth PYUSD-USD. If Pyth stops having the necessary PYUSD information to resolve this market, a consensus of credible sources for whether PYUSD was below 98 cents for 24 hours or more may be used to resolve this market.

Resolution source: https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3APYUSDUSD

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 388 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Palatable-AvalancheNo388$355
Belated-GlueYes280$24
0x8931aa50…No114$105
Flimsy-HandicapYes100$8
Good-Gram-ProstacyclinYes50$4
Secondary-LobotomyYes48$4
Advanced-AirmailNo26$24
Improbable-ResponsibilityYes24$2
Needy-SaladNo20$18
Untimely-Shield-TroutYes20$2

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $373 at 91.8%BUY No — $181 at 95.0%BUY No — $95 at 97.6%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 03:05 AM ETYesBUY7.0%$2
Oct 23, 03:05 AM ETYesBUY7.0%$3
Oct 23, 03:03 AM ETNoBUY96.0%$19
Oct 22, 10:22 PM ETNoBUY99.0%$30
Oct 21, 12:21 PM ETYesSELL4.0%$1
Oct 15, 09:40 AM ETYesSELL5.0%$4
Oct 05, 11:38 AM ETYesBUY2.0%$1
Oct 04, 10:50 AM ETNoBUY97.6%$47
Oct 04, 10:49 AM ETNoBUY97.6%$95
Oct 04, 10:48 AM ETNoBUY97.1%$47

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Stablecoins depeg before 2027??

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is PYUSD at 8.5%. Next is USD1 at 6.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/stablecoins-depeg-before-2027?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Stablecoins depeg before 2027??

$304.6K in total volume, with $27 traded in the last 24 hours across 9 markets.

When does Stablecoins depeg before 2027? end?

The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3APYUSDUSD.

What is the most likely outcome of Stablecoins depeg before 2027?, according to Polymarket traders?

PYUSD, priced at 8.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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