Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

StandX FDV above ___ one day after launch?

As of October 24, 2026, 06:26 PM ET, Polymarket traders price $1B at 2.4% in StandX FDV above ___ one day after launch? — $1.79M traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $2.1K.
Leading outcome
$1B
2%
A 2.4% price implies roughly a 2-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
7D +1.2 pts30D −9.1 pts
$1B2.4%
$5B2.4%
Bid
2¢
Ask
3¢
Spread
1¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since November 11, 2025: 1.1% – 86.5% · Opened at 37.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
StandX FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Category
FDV, Crypto, Pre-Market, StandX
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$1.79M
Volume (24h)
$2.1K
Liquidity
$250.9K
Markets
11
Leading outcome
$1B — 2.4%
Resolution source
https://x.com/StandX_Official

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, $1B, is priced at 2.4%.

Price changes for the leading market — past week: +1.2 pts; past month: -9.1 pts.

Since November 11, 2025, $1B has traded between 1.1% and 86.5%. It opened at 37.5% and last traded at 2.4%.

DayClose
Oct 17, 20261.1%
Oct 18, 20261.1%
Oct 19, 20261.8%
Oct 20, 20262.6%
Oct 22, 20262.6%
Oct 23, 20262.4%
Oct 24, 20262.4%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

$1B is favored at 2.4%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
$1B2¢2.4%—$467.3K26.2%
$5B2¢2.4%-0.1 pts$130.5K7.3%
$800M 2¢2.3%+0.6 pts$361.1K20.2%
$3B2¢1.7%-0.4 pts$198.9K11.1%
$400M1¢1.5%—$52.9K3.0%
$200M1¢1.4%—$64.6K3.6%
$100M1¢1.2%—$20.7K1.2%
$50M1¢0.8%—$58.3K3.3%
$2B1¢0.7%-1.0 pts$168.8K9.4%
$7B1¢0.7%—$73.3K4.1%
$10B1¢0.5%—$190.3K10.7%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 3¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$1.79M has been traded on this event in total, $2.1K of it in the last 24 hours, across 11 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of StandX's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If StandX (https://x.com/StandX_Official) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Resolution source: https://x.com/StandX_Official

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 65,052 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Oddball-HydrofoilYes65,052$1.6K
Icy-ConvictionNo8,000$7.8K
Energetic-GrandpaNo5,707$5.6K
Thrifty-ShallotNo5,349$5.2K
Sympathetic-Task-MedNo5,346$5.2K
hoseNo5,003$4.9K
Wiry-PintNo3,941$3.8K
Competent-TulipNo3,465$3.4K
Productive-MerchandiseNo3,225$3.1K
Bronze-PeakNo2,447$2.4K

What are the latest trades?

Tape
SELL No — $1.3K at 97.8%SELL No — $1.3K at 97.7%BUY No — $127 at 97.7%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 08:32 AM ETNoSELL97.3%$10
Oct 24, 05:42 AM ETYesSELL2.1%$1
Oct 24, 05:42 AM ETNoBUY97.7%$127
Oct 23, 07:57 PM ETNoSELL97.2%$29
Oct 23, 07:47 PM ETNoSELL97.2%$49
Oct 23, 07:47 PM ETNoSELL97.2%$58
Oct 23, 07:47 PM ETNoSELL97.2%$49
Oct 23, 07:42 PM ETNoSELL97.2%$49
Oct 23, 07:38 PM ETNoSELL97.3%$29
Oct 23, 07:37 PM ETNoSELL97.7%$1.3K

Related markets

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of StandX FDV above ___ one day after launch??

As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is $1B at 2.4%. Next is $5B at 2.4%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/standx-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch?via=bro

How much money has been traded on StandX FDV above ___ one day after launch??

$1.79M in total volume, with $2.1K traded in the last 24 hours across 11 markets.

When does StandX FDV above ___ one day after launch? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://x.com/StandX_Official.

What is the most likely outcome of StandX FDV above ___ one day after launch?, according to Polymarket traders?

$1B, priced at 2.4% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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