Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

St. Petersburg Mayoral Election Winner

As of October 24, 2026, 07:56 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Charlie Crist at 90.0% in St. Petersburg Mayoral Election Winner — $61.0K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $73.
Leading outcome
Charlie Crist
90%
A 90.0% price implies roughly a 90-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
30D +4.5 pts
Charlie Crist90.0%
Candidate A50.0%
Bid
89¢
Ask
91¢
Spread
2¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since June 24, 2026: 38.5% – 93.0% · Opened at 45.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
St. Petersburg Mayoral Election Winner
Category
Florida, Politics, Elections, deprec USA Election, Mayoral Elections, August 18 Primaries, US Election
Scheduled end
August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$61.0K
Volume (24h)
$73
Liquidity
$55.6K
Markets
8
Leading outcome
Charlie Crist — 90.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Charlie Crist, is priced at 90.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — past month: +4.5 pts.

Since June 24, 2026, Charlie Crist has traded between 38.5% and 93.0%. It opened at 45.5% and last traded at 90.0%.

DayClose
Oct 17, 202690.0%
Oct 18, 202690.0%
Oct 19, 202690.0%
Oct 20, 202690.5%
Oct 22, 202690.0%
Oct 23, 202690.0%
Oct 24, 202690.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Charlie Crist is favored at 90.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Charlie Crist90¢90.0%—$49.9K81.9%
Candidate A50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate B50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate C50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate D50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate E50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Other50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Ken Welch8¢7.8%-0.5 pts$7.9K12.9%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 89¢ / ask 91¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$61.0K has been traded on this event in total, $73 of it in the last 24 hours, across 8 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The 2026 St. Petersburg mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of St. Petersburg, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of St. Petersburg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of St. Petersburg or the State of Florida.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 5,438 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Insistent-VoiceYes5,438$4.9K
Awesome-AvailabilityNo4,653$465
Whimsical-TerminalNo4,123$412
Minor-DishYes3,671$3.3K
Prestigious-ExecutiveYes1,537$1.4K
Quarterly-CompressNo1,115$112
0xa5ef39c3…No1,065$107
Turbulent-Decline-RouterNo902$90
Carefree-AleYes808$728
Advanced-PetitionerNo770$77

What are the latest trades?

Tape
SELL No — $842 at 87.0%BUY No — $783 at 87.0%BUY Yes — $276 at 86.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 04:06 PM ETYesBUY91.0%$5
Oct 24, 12:29 PM ETYesBUY91.0%$25
Oct 24, 04:27 AM ETYesSELL5.7%$0
Oct 23, 07:56 PM ETNoSELL93.6%$37
Oct 23, 05:15 PM ETYesSELL5.6%$1
Oct 23, 05:14 PM ETYesSELL5.4%$1
Oct 21, 07:17 PM ETNoSELL9.0%$0
Oct 17, 08:14 PM ETYesBUY91.0%$46
Oct 17, 06:26 AM ETYesBUY91.0%$273
Oct 17, 04:12 AM ETYesSELL8.4%$2

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of St. Petersburg Mayoral Election Winner?

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Charlie Crist at 90.0%. Next is Candidate A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/stpt-petersburg-mayoral-election-winner-20260624160811880?via=bro

How much money has been traded on St. Petersburg Mayoral Election Winner?

$61.0K in total volume, with $73 traded in the last 24 hours across 8 markets.

When does St. Petersburg Mayoral Election Winner end?

The market is scheduled to end August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of St. Petersburg Mayoral Election Winner, according to Polymarket traders?

Charlie Crist, priced at 90.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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