Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Strava IPO Closing Market Cap

As of October 24, 2026, 07:52 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 4B–5B at 32.0% in Strava IPO Closing Market Cap — $91.6K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $17.
Leading outcome
4B–5B
32%
A 32.0% price implies roughly a 32-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +10.0 pts7D +7.5 pts30D −7.5 pts
4B–5B32.0%
2B–3B31.5%
Bid
14¢
Ask
50¢
Spread
36¢
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Range since January 14, 2026: 4.5% – 42.0% · Opened at 42.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Strava IPO Closing Market Cap
Category
Business, IPOs, running, strava
Scheduled end
December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$91.6K
Volume (24h)
$17
Liquidity
$2.0K
Markets
9
Leading outcome
4B–5B — 32.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, 4B–5B, is priced at 32.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +10.0 pts; past week: +7.5 pts; past month: -7.5 pts.

Since January 14, 2026, 4B–5B has traded between 4.5% and 42.0%. It opened at 42.0% and last traded at 22.0%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202632.0%
Oct 17, 202624.5%
Oct 18, 202632.5%
Oct 19, 202635.0%
Oct 20, 202622.0%
Oct 22, 202627.5%
Oct 23, 202622.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

4B–5B is favored at 32.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
4B–5B32¢32.0%+10.0 pts$1.7K1.8%
2B–3B32¢31.5%+1.0 pts$54.6K59.6%
7B–10B26¢26.4%-0.8 pts$1.3K1.4%
5B–7B18¢18.4%-1.8 pts$1.1K1.2%
<2B10¢9.8%-0.1 pts$9921.1%
No IPO before 20288¢7.8%+0.1 pts$7890.9%
3B–4B7¢7.0%-1.0 pts$28.0K30.6%
10B–15B5¢5.2%-0.4 pts$1.8K1.9%
15B+4¢4.3%-0.1 pts$1.5K1.6%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 36¢ (bid 14¢ / ask 50¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$91.6K has been traded on this event in total, $17 of it in the last 24 hours, across 9 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 784 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
0xa5ef39c3…No784$533
Belated-GlueYes285$91
Fruitful-HeroineYes75$24
Secondary-LobotomyYes66$21
Wild-CreditorYes50$16
Broken-IdeaYes41$13
Bouncy-SavingYes40$13
Blind-LeafYes38$12
Evil-RowYes37$12
True-Child-BottlingYes30$10

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Yes — $250 at 45.8%SELL No — $145 at 50.0%SELL No — $113 at 92.8%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 06:01 AM ETYesBUY8.5%$1
Oct 01, 02:43 PM ETYesBUY6.9%$1
Sep 30, 09:44 AM ETYesSELL4.0%$0
Sep 30, 08:54 AM ETNoSELL92.8%$113
Sep 18, 11:38 AM ETYesSELL3.0%$2
Sep 18, 11:35 AM ETYesSELL19.0%$6
Sep 17, 03:55 PM ETYesBUY20.0%$1
Sep 17, 03:55 PM ETYesBUY3.0%$0
Sep 17, 03:55 PM ETYesBUY7.9%$0
Sep 17, 02:54 PM ETYesSELL19.0%$0

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Strava IPO Closing Market Cap?

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is 4B–5B at 32.0%. Next is 2B–3B at 31.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/strava-ipo-closing-market-cap?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Strava IPO Closing Market Cap?

$91.6K in total volume, with $17 traded in the last 24 hours across 9 markets.

When does Strava IPO Closing Market Cap end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Strava IPO Closing Market Cap, according to Polymarket traders?

4B–5B, priced at 32.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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