As of October 24, 2026, 09:09 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Stripe at 65.0% in Stripe vs American Express - higher valuation on December 31? — $1.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Stripe, is priced at 65.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -0.5 pts; past month: +50.0 pts.
Since May 19, 2026, Stripe has traded between 10.5% and 65.5%. It opened at 52.5% and last traded at 65.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 65.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 65.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 65.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 65.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 65.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 65.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 65.0% |
Stripe is favored at 65.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stripe | 65¢ | 65.0% | — | $1.1K | 100.0% |
| American Express | 35¢ | 35.0% | — | $1.1K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 26¢ (bid 52¢ / ask 78¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$1.1K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end January 04, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to the listed company with the larger valuation, as measured by the final NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) and the official closing price for the public company, for December 31, 2026. NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. If NPM has not published relevant data for the specified date by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the latest data available. If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the specified date, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing. If the private company completes an IPO or direct listing before the specified date, this market will resolve according to the company's public market capitalization at the market close of the specified date or the most recent trading day. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 160 shares of American Express.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arid-Cinema | American Express | 160 | $56 |
| Wry-Friction-Banquette | American Express | 133 | $46 |
| Evil-Row | Stripe | 126 | $82 |
| Belated-Glue | Stripe | 123 | $80 |
| Oddball-Poison | Stripe | 100 | $65 |
| Tricky-Usher | American Express | 36 | $13 |
| Plastic-Duck | American Express | 18 | $6 |
| Concerned-Wing | American Express | 10 | $4 |
| Minty-Spruce | Stripe | 7 | $5 |
| Sharp-Landform | Stripe | 1 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 12:54 AM ET | Stripe | BUY | 51.0% | $26 |
| Oct 09, 06:33 AM ET | Stripe | BUY | 44.0% | $22 |
| Oct 07, 03:16 AM ET | Stripe | SELL | 30.0% | $14 |
| Oct 03, 07:44 AM ET | Stripe | SELL | 34.0% | $2 |
| Oct 03, 07:44 AM ET | American Express | BUY | 66.0% | $3 |
| Oct 02, 10:03 PM ET | American Express | BUY | 66.0% | $33 |
| Oct 02, 03:59 PM ET | American Express | BUY | 66.0% | $33 |
| Oct 02, 09:11 AM ET | Stripe | BUY | 25.0% | $8 |
| Sep 22, 07:09 PM ET | Stripe | BUY | 14.0% | $1 |
| Aug 12, 09:44 AM ET | Stripe | BUY | 18.0% | $6 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is Stripe at 65.0%. Next is American Express at 35.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/stripe-vs-american-express-higher-valuation-on-december-31?via=bro
$1.1K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 04, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Stripe, priced at 65.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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