Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Stripe vs American Express - higher valuation on December 31?

As of October 24, 2026, 09:09 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Stripe at 65.0% in Stripe vs American Express - higher valuation on December 31? — $1.1K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
Stripe
65%
A 65.0% price implies roughly a 65-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
7D −0.5 pts30D +50.0 pts
Stripe65.0%
American Express35.0%
Bid
52¢
Ask
78¢
Spread
26¢
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Range since May 19, 2026: 10.5% – 65.5% · Opened at 52.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Stripe vs American Express - higher valuation on December 31?
Category
Finance, Privates
Scheduled end
January 04, 2027, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$1.1K
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$265
Markets
1
Leading outcome
Stripe — 65.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Stripe, is priced at 65.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — past week: -0.5 pts; past month: +50.0 pts.

Since May 19, 2026, Stripe has traded between 10.5% and 65.5%. It opened at 52.5% and last traded at 65.0%.

DayClose
Oct 15, 202665.5%
Oct 16, 202665.5%
Oct 18, 202665.5%
Oct 19, 202665.5%
Oct 20, 202665.5%
Oct 23, 202665.5%
Oct 24, 202665.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Stripe is favored at 65.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Stripe65¢65.0%—$1.1K100.0%
American Express35¢35.0%—$1.1K100.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 26¢ (bid 52¢ / ask 78¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$1.1K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end January 04, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to the listed company with the larger valuation, as measured by the final NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) and the official closing price for the public company, for December 31, 2026. NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. If NPM has not published relevant data for the specified date by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the latest data available. If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the specified date, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing. If the private company completes an IPO or direct listing before the specified date, this market will resolve according to the company's public market capitalization at the market close of the specified date or the most recent trading day. … (condensed)

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 160 shares of American Express.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Arid-CinemaAmerican Express160$56
Wry-Friction-BanquetteAmerican Express133$46
Evil-RowStripe126$82
Belated-GlueStripe123$80
Oddball-PoisonStripe100$65
Tricky-UsherAmerican Express36$13
Plastic-DuckAmerican Express18$6
Concerned-WingAmerican Express10$4
Minty-SpruceStripe7$5
Sharp-LandformStripe1$1

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Stripe — $53 at 15.0%SELL Stripe — $36 at 25.4%SELL Stripe — $34 at 25.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 12, 12:54 AM ETStripeBUY51.0%$26
Oct 09, 06:33 AM ETStripeBUY44.0%$22
Oct 07, 03:16 AM ETStripeSELL30.0%$14
Oct 03, 07:44 AM ETStripeSELL34.0%$2
Oct 03, 07:44 AM ETAmerican ExpressBUY66.0%$3
Oct 02, 10:03 PM ETAmerican ExpressBUY66.0%$33
Oct 02, 03:59 PM ETAmerican ExpressBUY66.0%$33
Oct 02, 09:11 AM ETStripeBUY25.0%$8
Sep 22, 07:09 PM ETStripeBUY14.0%$1
Aug 12, 09:44 AM ETStripeBUY18.0%$6

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Stripe vs American Express - higher valuation on December 31??

As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is Stripe at 65.0%. Next is American Express at 35.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/stripe-vs-american-express-higher-valuation-on-december-31?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Stripe vs American Express - higher valuation on December 31??

$1.1K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does Stripe vs American Express - higher valuation on December 31? end?

The market is scheduled to end January 04, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Stripe vs American Express - higher valuation on December 31?, according to Polymarket traders?

Stripe, priced at 65.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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