Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Supreme Court accepts AI copyright case before 2027?

As of October 24, 2026, 09:12 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 89.5% in Supreme Court accepts AI copyright case before 2027? — $915 traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $221.
Leading outcome
No
90%
A 89.5% price implies roughly a 90-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −2.5 pts7D −3.5 pts30D −1.5 pts
No89.5%
Yes10.5%
Bid
7¢
Ask
14¢
Spread
7¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since September 18, 2026: 84.5% – 94.5% · Opened at 87.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Supreme Court accepts AI copyright case before 2027?
Category
AI, Tech, legal, Courts, Politics, AI Regulation, Supreme Court
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$915
Volume (24h)
$221
Liquidity
$283
Markets
1
Leading outcome
No — 89.5%
Resolution source
https://www.supremecourt.gov

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, No, is priced at 89.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -2.5 pts; past week: -3.5 pts; past month: -1.5 pts.

Since September 18, 2026, No has traded between 84.5% and 94.5%. It opened at 87.5% and last traded at 89.5%.

DayClose
Oct 17, 202686.0%
Oct 18, 202684.5%
Oct 19, 202687.5%
Oct 20, 202688.0%
Oct 22, 202686.5%
Oct 23, 202687.0%
Oct 24, 202689.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

No is favored at 89.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
No90¢89.5%+2.5 pts$915100.0%
Yes10¢10.5%-2.5 pts$915100.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 7¢ (bid 7¢ / ask 14¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$915 has been traded on this event in total, $221 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Court of the United States grants certiorari in a case concerning artificial intelligence and United States copyright law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A case qualifies if at least one of its claims or defenses, as described in the petition for certiorari or in the lower court's decision under review, concerns any of the following: (1) whether using copyrighted works to train, develop, or fine-tune an artificial intelligence model infringes copyright or is fair use; (2) whether outputs generated by an artificial intelligence model infringe copyright, or who is liable for such infringement; (3) whether works created in whole or in part by an artificial intelligence system are eligible for copyright protection, or who may be their author; or (4) any other claim under Title 17 of the United States Code, including the Digital Millennium Copyright Act, that arises from the training or development of an artificial intelligence model or from its outputs. An artificial intelligence model means any system that learns from data or generates content, including machine-learning and generative AI models such as large language, image, audio, and video models; the petition or decision does not need to use the words "artificial intelligence" or "AI". … (condensed)

Resolution source: https://www.supremecourt.gov

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 185 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Belated-GlueYes185$19
Liquid-ArgumentNo152$136
Crazy-FishmongerNo123$110
Tangible-Exasperation-GritYes100$10
Smug-SnowmanNo40$36
Untimely-MoodNo30$27
Grim-GarageYes22$2
Gorgeous-CymbalYes20$2
Plump-ImplementationYes11$1
Costly-SwellNo11$10

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $137 at 90.0%BUY No — $70 at 87.0%BUY No — $17 at 87.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 07:36 AM ETYesBUY9.0%$3
Oct 24, 07:24 AM ETYesSELL5.0%$0
Oct 24, 07:23 AM ETYesSELL6.0%$1
Oct 24, 07:23 AM ETNoBUY90.0%$137
Oct 24, 07:23 AM ETNoBUY90.0%$10
Oct 24, 05:04 AM ETYesSELL10.0%$0
Oct 23, 11:37 PM ETNoBUY88.0%$7
Oct 22, 11:53 PM ETNoBUY87.0%$17
Oct 22, 11:53 PM ETNoBUY88.0%$17
Oct 22, 11:53 PM ETNoBUY86.0%$17

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Supreme Court accepts AI copyright case before 2027??

As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 89.5%. Next is Yes at 10.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/supreme-court-accepts-ai-copyright-case-before-2027?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Supreme Court accepts AI copyright case before 2027??

$915 in total volume, with $221 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does Supreme Court accepts AI copyright case before 2027? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.supremecourt.gov.

What is the most likely outcome of Supreme Court accepts AI copyright case before 2027?, according to Polymarket traders?

No, priced at 89.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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