As of October 24, 2026, 08:21 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Garry Purewal at 86.0% in Surrey-Fleetwood British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner — $7.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Garry Purewal, is priced at 86.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.5 pts; past week: +38.0 pts.
Since October 08, 2026, Garry Purewal has traded between 27.0% and 87.0%. It opened at 42.5% and last traded at 87.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 52.0% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 48.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 47.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 53.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 53.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 71.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 87.0% |
Garry Purewal is favored at 86.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garry Purewal | 86¢ | 86.0% | +1.5 pts | $3.4K | 48.2% |
| Person A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Jagrup Brar | 14¢ | 13.5% | -1.0 pts | $2.3K | 32.4% |
| Tim Binnema | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $302 | 4.2% |
| Paul Brar | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $365 | 5.1% |
| Carolyn Hofbauer | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $712 | 10.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 20¢ (bid 76¢ / ask 96¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$7.1K has been traded on this event in total, $52 of it in the last 24 hours, across 32 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
General elections to elect all 93 members of the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia are scheduled to take place on October 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Surrey-Fleetwood British Columbia Legislative Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).
Resolution source: https://elections.bc.ca/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 472 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 472 | $66 |
| mrworldwide | Yes | 363 | $312 |
| Glaring-Sediment-Trigonometry | Yes | 304 | $261 |
| Known-Use | No | 265 | $37 |
| Athletic-Curiosity | Yes | 161 | $139 |
| Unfolded-Fish | Yes | 132 | $113 |
| Straight-Wrinkle | No | 90 | $13 |
| Basic-Sentence | Yes | 79 | $68 |
| Gripping-Abolishment | No | 40 | $6 |
| Skeletal-Liver | No | 20 | $3 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 01:16 AM ET | No | BUY | 12.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 12:49 AM ET | No | BUY | 10.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 09:48 PM ET | No | SELL | 9.0% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 05:04 PM ET | No | BUY | 15.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 04:25 PM ET | No | BUY | 96.0% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 04:25 PM ET | No | SELL | 4.9% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 04:25 PM ET | No | BUY | 94.0% | $19 |
| Oct 23, 04:22 PM ET | No | SELL | 5.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 04:21 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 11.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 04:20 PM ET | No | SELL | 10.1% | $6 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Garry Purewal at 86.0%. Next is Person A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/surrey-fleetwood-british-columbia-legislative-assembly-election-winner?via=bro
$7.1K in total volume, with $52 traded in the last 24 hours across 32 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://elections.bc.ca/.
Garry Purewal, priced at 86.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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