As of October 24, 2026, 08:21 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Garry Thind at 90.0% in Surrey-Guildford British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner — $6.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Garry Thind, is priced at 90.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +5.0 pts; past week: +21.5 pts.
Since October 08, 2026, Garry Thind has traded between 36.5% and 90.0%. It opened at 36.5% and last traded at 90.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 75.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 62.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 72.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 74.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 82.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 85.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 90.0% |
Garry Thind is favored at 90.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garry Thind | 90¢ | 90.0% | +5.0 pts | $4.3K | 63.9% |
| Person A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Garry Begg | 6¢ | 6.0% | -8.0 pts | $1.1K | 17.0% |
| James Yaroshuk | 1¢ | 1.1% | -1.1 pts | $664 | 9.8% |
| Jodi Murphy | 1¢ | 0.9% | -0.1 pts | $632 | 9.3% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 14¢ (bid 83¢ / ask 97¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$6.8K has been traded on this event in total, $1.3K of it in the last 24 hours, across 31 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
General elections to elect all 93 members of the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia are scheduled to take place on October 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Surrey-Guildford British Columbia Legislative Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).
Resolution source: https://elections.bc.ca/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,471 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic-Curiosity | Yes | 1,471 | $1.3K |
| Known-Use | No | 695 | $70 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 321 | $32 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 320 | $32 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | No | 180 | $18 |
| Caring-Eclipse | Yes | 71 | $64 |
| Snappy-Rooster | No | 65 | $6 |
| Instructive-Billion | Yes | 63 | $57 |
| Active-Table | Yes | 60 | $54 |
| Skeletal-Liver | No | 60 | $6 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 08:09 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 10.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 08:36 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 89.4% | $67 |
| Oct 24, 05:41 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 90.0% | $18 |
| Oct 24, 05:41 AM ET | No | BUY | 10.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 05:41 AM ET | No | BUY | 10.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 05:41 AM ET | No | BUY | 89.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 05:41 AM ET | No | BUY | 89.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 05:41 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.7% | $11 |
| Oct 24, 05:41 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.6% | $20 |
| Oct 24, 05:41 AM ET | No | BUY | 89.0% | $459 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Garry Thind at 90.0%. Next is Person A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/surrey-guildford-british-columbia-legislative-assembly-election-winner?via=bro
$6.8K in total volume, with $1.3K traded in the last 24 hours across 31 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://elections.bc.ca/.
Garry Thind, priced at 90.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.