As of October 24, 2026, 08:21 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Harj Dhaliwal at 79.5% in Surrey-Newton British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner — $7.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Harj Dhaliwal, is priced at 79.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +20.5 pts; past week: +38.0 pts.
Since October 09, 2026, Harj Dhaliwal has traded between 33.0% and 80.0%. It opened at 41.0% and last traded at 80.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | 43.5% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 44.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 44.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 41.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 46.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 40.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 80.0% |
Harj Dhaliwal is favored at 79.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harj Dhaliwal | 80¢ | 79.5% | +20.5 pts | $5.5K | 73.1% |
| Person A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Jessie Sunner | 20¢ | 19.5% | -14.0 pts | $1.5K | 19.7% |
| Harman Preet Singh | 0¢ | 0.1% | -0.1 pts | $547 | 7.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 9¢ (bid 75¢ / ask 84¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$7.6K has been traded on this event in total, $1.0K of it in the last 24 hours, across 30 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
General elections to elect all 93 members of the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia are scheduled to take place on October 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Surrey-Newton British Columbia Legislative Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).
Resolution source: https://elections.bc.ca/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 913 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| mrworldwide | Yes | 913 | $726 |
| Subdued-Pasta | No | 699 | $143 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 596 | $122 |
| Buoyant-Offense | Yes | 237 | $188 |
| Straight-Wrinkle | Yes | 167 | $133 |
| Quiet-Lane | Yes | 92 | $73 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | No | 70 | $14 |
| Advanced-Mailer | No | 57 | $12 |
| 0x93934bd9… | Yes | 55 | $44 |
| Known-Use | No | 45 | $9 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 08:11 PM ET | No | BUY | 25.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 07:20 PM ET | No | BUY | 24.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 06:41 PM ET | No | BUY | 25.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 06:33 PM ET | No | SELL | 57.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 06:33 PM ET | No | BUY | 26.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 06:33 PM ET | No | BUY | 26.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 06:33 PM ET | No | BUY | 70.0% | $14 |
| Oct 24, 06:33 PM ET | No | BUY | 70.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 06:33 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 32.0% | $26 |
| Oct 24, 06:33 PM ET | No | BUY | 28.0% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Harj Dhaliwal at 79.5%. Next is Person A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/surrey-newton-british-columbia-legislative-assembly-election-winner?via=bro
$7.6K in total volume, with $1.0K traded in the last 24 hours across 30 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://elections.bc.ca/.
Harj Dhaliwal, priced at 79.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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