As of October 24, 2026, 06:30 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 61.0% in Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31? — $38.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 61.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +3.5 pts; past week: +8.5 pts; past month: +22.0 pts.
Since April 04, 2026, No has traded between 25.5% and 87.5%. It opened at 68.0% and last traded at 61.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | 73.5% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 66.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 71.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 66.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 62.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 63.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 61.0% |
No is favored at 61.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 61¢ | 61.0% | -3.5 pts | $38.8K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 39¢ | 39.0% | +3.5 pts | $38.8K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 38¢ / ask 40¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$38.8K has been traded on this event in total, $884 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Susie Wiles ceases to be the White House Chief of Staff for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Wiles' resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 3,206 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Smoggy-Antique | Yes | 3,206 | $1.3K |
| Gracious-Fame | Yes | 1,840 | $718 |
| Optimal-Miss | No | 1,800 | $1.1K |
| Short-Term-Criminal | No | 1,267 | $773 |
| Cultivated-Diesel | No | 1,181 | $720 |
| Unfit-Hardboard | Yes | 815 | $318 |
| Fantastic-Refrigerator | No | 698 | $426 |
| Trained-Sniffle | No | 632 | $386 |
| Loathsome-Ox | No | 599 | $366 |
| Peppery-Capital | No | 551 | $336 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 03:25 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 39.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 03:25 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 38.0% | $85 |
| Oct 24, 03:17 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 37.0% | $27 |
| Oct 24, 03:16 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 37.0% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 03:16 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 37.0% | $37 |
| Oct 24, 03:16 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 37.0% | $37 |
| Oct 24, 11:16 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 37.0% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 11:11 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 38.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 07:27 AM ET | No | SELL | 62.0% | $31 |
| Oct 24, 05:58 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 37.0% | $9 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 61.0%. Next is Yes at 39.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/susie-wiles-out-as-white-house-chief-of-staff-by-december-31?via=bro
$38.8K in total volume, with $884 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 61.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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