As of October 24, 2026, 08:21 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 86.5% in Sweden snap election called in 2026? — $6.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 86.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -3.5 pts.
Since September 30, 2026, No has traded between 82.0% and 87.5%. It opened at 84.5% and last traded at 86.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 86.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 82.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 84.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 84.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 83.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 87.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 86.5% |
No is favored at 86.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 86¢ | 86.5% | — | $6.9K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 14¢ | 13.5% | — | $6.9K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 13¢ / ask 14¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$6.9K has been traded on this event in total, $25 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Sweden between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The calling of a snap election requires the formal ordering of an extraordinary election, or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of the Riksdag before the next scheduled ordinary Riksdag election. An extraordinary election ordered by the Government, an extraordinary election formally scheduled by the Speaker following the Riksdag's rejection of the Speaker's proposal for Prime Minister four times, and any other means provided for by the Instrument of Government all qualify. An announcement of an intention to order an extraordinary election, a failed vote on a proposed Prime Minister, or the failure of coalition negotiations will not by itself qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. The fourth rejection of a proposed Prime Minister will not qualify until the resulting extraordinary election is formally scheduled. The election need not take place by the deadline. Once a qualifying election is formally ordered or scheduled, its subsequent cancellation or postponement will not affect resolution. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,501 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tattered-Ephyra | No | 1,501 | $1.3K |
| Barren-Laughter | No | 742 | $642 |
| Bleak-Periodical-Temper | Yes | 518 | $70 |
| Unselfish-Mineral-Sunday | Yes | 501 | $68 |
| Dead-Lava | No | 438 | $378 |
| Scarce-Footnote | Yes | 400 | $54 |
| Crazy-Fishmonger | Yes | 335 | $45 |
| Burly-Piano | Yes | 311 | $42 |
| Mammoth-Purchase | Yes | 303 | $41 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 243 | $33 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:30 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 13.0% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 08:13 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 14.0% | $4 |
| Oct 23, 08:13 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 14.0% | $23 |
| Oct 22, 04:58 PM ET | No | SELL | 86.0% | $23 |
| Oct 22, 04:28 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 15.0% | $2 |
| Oct 21, 07:12 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 15.0% | $4 |
| Oct 21, 02:49 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 13.0% | $2 |
| Oct 21, 02:49 PM ET | No | BUY | 86.0% | $16 |
| Oct 21, 02:49 PM ET | No | BUY | 85.0% | $100 |
| Oct 21, 08:32 AM ET | No | BUY | 85.0% | $10 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 86.5%. Next is Yes at 13.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/sweden-snap-election-called-in-2026?via=bro
$6.9K in total volume, with $25 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 86.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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