Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Sweden snap election called in 2026?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:21 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 86.5% in Sweden snap election called in 2026? — $6.9K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $25.
Leading outcome
No
86%
A 86.5% price implies roughly a 86-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
7D −3.5 pts
No86.5%
Yes13.5%
Bid
13¢
Ask
14¢
Spread
1¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since September 30, 2026: 82.0% – 87.5% · Opened at 84.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Sweden snap election called in 2026?
Category
Europe, Sweden, Politics, Elections, World Elections, Global Elections, Sweden Elections
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$6.9K
Volume (24h)
$25
Liquidity
$11.4K
Markets
1
Leading outcome
No — 86.5%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, No, is priced at 86.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — past week: -3.5 pts.

Since September 30, 2026, No has traded between 82.0% and 87.5%. It opened at 84.5% and last traded at 86.5%.

DayClose
Oct 15, 202686.0%
Oct 16, 202682.5%
Oct 18, 202684.0%
Oct 19, 202684.0%
Oct 20, 202683.5%
Oct 22, 202687.0%
Oct 23, 202686.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

No is favored at 86.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
No86¢86.5%—$6.9K100.0%
Yes14¢13.5%—$6.9K100.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 13¢ / ask 14¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$6.9K has been traded on this event in total, $25 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Sweden between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The calling of a snap election requires the formal ordering of an extraordinary election, or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of the Riksdag before the next scheduled ordinary Riksdag election. An extraordinary election ordered by the Government, an extraordinary election formally scheduled by the Speaker following the Riksdag's rejection of the Speaker's proposal for Prime Minister four times, and any other means provided for by the Instrument of Government all qualify. An announcement of an intention to order an extraordinary election, a failed vote on a proposed Prime Minister, or the failure of coalition negotiations will not by itself qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. The fourth rejection of a proposed Prime Minister will not qualify until the resulting extraordinary election is formally scheduled. The election need not take place by the deadline. Once a qualifying election is formally ordered or scheduled, its subsequent cancellation or postponement will not affect resolution. … (condensed)

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,501 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Tattered-EphyraNo1,501$1.3K
Barren-LaughterNo742$642
Bleak-Periodical-TemperYes518$70
Unselfish-Mineral-SundayYes501$68
Dead-LavaNo438$378
Scarce-FootnoteYes400$54
Crazy-FishmongerYes335$45
Burly-PianoYes311$42
Mammoth-PurchaseYes303$41
Belated-GlueYes243$33

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $168 at 84.0%BUY No — $167 at 84.0%BUY No — $123 at 86.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 04:30 PM ETYesSELL13.0%$3
Oct 23, 08:13 AM ETYesBUY14.0%$4
Oct 23, 08:13 AM ETYesBUY14.0%$23
Oct 22, 04:58 PM ETNoSELL86.0%$23
Oct 22, 04:28 AM ETYesBUY15.0%$2
Oct 21, 07:12 PM ETYesBUY15.0%$4
Oct 21, 02:49 PM ETYesSELL13.0%$2
Oct 21, 02:49 PM ETNoBUY86.0%$16
Oct 21, 02:49 PM ETNoBUY85.0%$100
Oct 21, 08:32 AM ETNoBUY85.0%$10

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Sweden snap election called in 2026??

As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 86.5%. Next is Yes at 13.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/sweden-snap-election-called-in-2026?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Sweden snap election called in 2026??

$6.9K in total volume, with $25 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does Sweden snap election called in 2026? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Sweden snap election called in 2026?, according to Polymarket traders?

No, priced at 86.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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