As of October 24, 2026, 06:28 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No Change at 80.8% in Swiss National Bank decision in December? — $67.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No Change, is priced at 80.8%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.2 pts; past week: -0.9 pts; past month: +24.8 pts.
Since September 24, 2026, No Change has traded between 56.0% and 94.5%. It opened at 56.0% and last traded at 80.8%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | 73.8% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 78.3% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 83.9% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 82.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 82.2% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 82.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 80.8% |
No Change is favored at 80.8%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Change | 81¢ | 80.8% | +1.2 pts | $17.5K | 26.1% |
| 25 bps increase | 13¢ | 12.6% | -6.0 pts | $32.0K | 47.7% |
| 50+ bps increase | 0¢ | 0.2% | +0.2 pts | $4.0K | 5.9% |
| 50+ bps decrease | 0¢ | 0.2% | +0.1 pts | $6.2K | 9.3% |
| 25 bps decrease | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $7.4K | 11.1% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 79¢ / ask 82¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$67.2K has been traded on this event in total, $1.8K of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 09, 2026, 07:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the SNB policy rate resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the Swiss National Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Swiss National Bank, including the statement or release from its December 2026 monetary policy assessment, scheduled for December 10, 2026, as listed on the official Swiss National Bank calendar (https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Swiss National Bank resulting from its December 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 7,513 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 7,513 | $1.4K |
| Crisp-Scarf | Yes | 3,769 | $3.0K |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 1,891 | $1.5K |
| Prime-Witchhunt | Yes | 473 | $382 |
| Prudent-Composer-Tape | Yes | 348 | $281 |
| Pretty-Mother | Yes | 300 | $242 |
| Attentive-Crewman | No | 251 | $48 |
| Clear-Cut-Tuna | Yes | 230 | $186 |
| Spirited-Priest | Yes | 200 | $162 |
| Grand-Side-Curio | Yes | 191 | $154 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:45 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 14.4% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 04:45 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 82.3% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 04:45 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 0.2% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 04:40 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 14.4% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 04:40 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 82.2% | $24 |
| Oct 24, 04:40 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 0.2% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 04:23 PM ET | No | SELL | 18.2% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 04:19 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 10.4% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 03:37 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 15.3% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 03:23 PM ET | No | SELL | 82.9% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is No Change at 80.8%. Next is 25 bps increase at 12.6%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/swiss-national-bank-decision-in-december-2026?via=bro
$67.2K in total volume, with $1.8K traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 09, 2026, 07:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule.
No Change, priced at 80.8% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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