Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Swiss National Bank decision in December?

As of October 24, 2026, 06:28 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No Change at 80.8% in Swiss National Bank decision in December? — $67.2K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $1.8K.
Leading outcome
No Change
81%
A 80.8% price implies roughly a 81-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +1.2 pts7D −0.9 pts30D +24.8 pts
No Change80.8%
25 bps increase12.6%
Bid
79¢
Ask
82¢
Spread
3¢
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Range since September 24, 2026: 56.0% – 94.5% · Opened at 56.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Swiss National Bank decision in December?
Category
SNB, Economy, Recurring, Switzerland, Global Rates, Economic Policy
Scheduled end
December 09, 2026, 07:00 PM ET
Total volume
$67.2K
Volume (24h)
$1.8K
Liquidity
$30.2K
Markets
5
Leading outcome
No Change — 80.8%
Resolution source
https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, No Change, is priced at 80.8%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.2 pts; past week: -0.9 pts; past month: +24.8 pts.

Since September 24, 2026, No Change has traded between 56.0% and 94.5%. It opened at 56.0% and last traded at 80.8%.

DayClose
Oct 13, 202673.8%
Oct 15, 202678.3%
Oct 16, 202683.9%
Oct 18, 202682.0%
Oct 19, 202682.2%
Oct 20, 202682.0%
Oct 24, 202680.8%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

No Change is favored at 80.8%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
No Change81¢80.8%+1.2 pts$17.5K26.1%
25 bps increase13¢12.6%-6.0 pts$32.0K47.7%
50+ bps increase0¢0.2%+0.2 pts$4.0K5.9%
50+ bps decrease0¢0.2%+0.1 pts$6.2K9.3%
25 bps decrease0¢0.1%—$7.4K11.1%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 79¢ / ask 82¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$67.2K has been traded on this event in total, $1.8K of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 09, 2026, 07:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the SNB policy rate resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the Swiss National Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Swiss National Bank, including the statement or release from its December 2026 monetary policy assessment, scheduled for December 10, 2026, as listed on the official Swiss National Bank calendar (https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Swiss National Bank resulting from its December 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). … (condensed)

Resolution source: https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 7,513 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
0xa5ef39c3…No7,513$1.4K
Crisp-ScarfYes3,769$3.0K
Fair-TanYes1,891$1.5K
Prime-WitchhuntYes473$382
Prudent-Composer-TapeYes348$281
Pretty-MotherYes300$242
Attentive-CrewmanNo251$48
Clear-Cut-TunaYes230$186
Spirited-PriestYes200$162
Grand-Side-CurioYes191$154

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $380 at 82.4%BUY Yes — $145 at 80.9%SELL Yes — $140 at 81.7%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 04:45 PM ETYesBUY14.4%$1
Oct 24, 04:45 PM ETYesBUY82.3%$7
Oct 24, 04:45 PM ETYesBUY0.2%$0
Oct 24, 04:40 PM ETYesBUY14.4%$4
Oct 24, 04:40 PM ETYesBUY82.2%$24
Oct 24, 04:40 PM ETYesBUY0.2%$0
Oct 24, 04:23 PM ETNoSELL18.2%$1
Oct 24, 04:19 PM ETYesSELL10.4%$2
Oct 24, 03:37 PM ETYesSELL15.3%$8
Oct 24, 03:23 PM ETNoSELL82.9%$0

Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Swiss National Bank decision in December??

As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is No Change at 80.8%. Next is 25 bps increase at 12.6%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/swiss-national-bank-decision-in-december-2026?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Swiss National Bank decision in December??

$67.2K in total volume, with $1.8K traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.

When does Swiss National Bank decision in December? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 09, 2026, 07:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule.

What is the most likely outcome of Swiss National Bank decision in December?, according to Polymarket traders?

No Change, priced at 80.8% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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