Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Syrian troops enter Yemen by...?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:19 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 17.5% in Syrian troops enter Yemen by...? — $9.1K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $234.
Leading outcome
December 31
18%
A 17.5% price implies roughly a 18-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −3.0 pts7D −3.0 pts
December 3117.5%
October 315.0%
Bid
15¢
Ask
20¢
Spread
5¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since October 08, 2026: 8.5% – 28.0% · Opened at 28.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Syrian troops enter Yemen by...?
Category
Syria, Yemen, Military, Politics, Geopolitics, Middle East
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$9.1K
Volume (24h)
$234
Liquidity
$24.9K
Markets
2
Leading outcome
December 31 — 17.5%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 17.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -3.0 pts; past week: -3.0 pts.

Since October 08, 2026, December 31 has traded between 8.5% and 28.0%. It opened at 28.0% and last traded at 21.0%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202618.5%
Oct 17, 202620.5%
Oct 18, 202622.0%
Oct 19, 202619.5%
Oct 20, 202619.5%
Oct 22, 202623.5%
Oct 23, 202621.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

December 31 is favored at 17.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
December 3118¢17.5%-3.0 pts$3.6K39.5%
October 315¢5.0%+0.9 pts$5.5K60.5%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 5¢ (bid 15¢ / ask 20¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$9.1K has been traded on this event in total, $234 of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Syrian troops enter any part of Yemen by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Syrian troops" refers to active military personnel officially affiliated with Syria. Only members of the regular armed forces of Syria will qualify. Foreign fighters, private military contractors, mercenaries, or any other personnel recruited, paid, trained, equipped or directed by Syria who are not members of the Syrian armed forces will not qualify, regardless of whether they operate under Syrian command or on Syria’s behalf. Members of the armed forces of any other state, including those operating as part of a Syrian-led coalition, will not qualify. "Enter" means that the Syrian troops, even temporarily, deliberately operate within any part of Yemen, other than as prisoners of war or as emissaries as described below. Bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of activity will not qualify on their own. An announcement, threat, or claim of Syrian troop entry will not qualify without actual entry being established. The entrance of Syrian emissaries for the purpose of negotiating an agreement or other diplomatic or commercial endeavors will not alone qualify. … (condensed)

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 268 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Bountiful-DisposerYes268$47
Clueless-Dugout-TomtomNo254$209
Belated-GlueYes188$33
Beautiful-LimitationYes120$21
Ancient-Interviewer-PrisonNo120$99
Dapper-BaseballYes83$14
Sticky-ClosingNo79$65
Traumatic-BakeryNo70$58
Known-UseNo61$51
bakayo33 - 9934Yes60$10

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $299 at 88.1%BUY No — $179 at 93.0%BUY No — $165 at 94.9%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 07:20 PM ETNoSELL94.2%$25
Oct 24, 07:34 AM ETYesBUY5.0%$2
Oct 24, 03:22 AM ETYesBUY20.0%$3
Oct 23, 10:31 PM ETNoBUY84.0%$20
Oct 23, 10:31 PM ETYesSELL18.0%$25
Oct 23, 05:59 PM ETNoBUY81.0%$20
Oct 22, 06:07 PM ETYesBUY29.5%$6
Oct 22, 06:07 PM ETYesBUY23.0%$5
Oct 22, 04:58 PM ETYesBUY27.0%$5
Oct 22, 04:58 PM ETYesBUY23.0%$5

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Syrian troops enter Yemen by...??

As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 17.5%. Next is October 31 at 5.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/syrian-troops-enter-yemen-by?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Syrian troops enter Yemen by...??

$9.1K in total volume, with $234 traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.

When does Syrian troops enter Yemen by...? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Syrian troops enter Yemen by...?, according to Polymarket traders?

December 31, priced at 17.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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