Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

T-Mobile US & SpaceX merger/acquisition announced in 2026?

As of October 24, 2026, 09:14 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 73.0% in T-Mobile US & SpaceX merger/acquisition announced in 2026? — $712 traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
No
73%
A 73.0% price implies roughly a 73-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +22.5 pts7D +22.5 pts30D +22.0 pts
No73.0%
Yes27.0%
Bid
4¢
Ask
50¢
Spread
46¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since July 01, 2026: 57.0% – 96.0% · Opened at 57.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
T-Mobile US & SpaceX merger/acquisition announced in 2026?
Category
M&A, Elon, SPCX, TMUS, Tech, SpaceX, Finance, Big Tech, T-Mobile, Elon Musk, mergers and acquisitions
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$712
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$164
Markets
1
Leading outcome
No — 73.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, No, is priced at 73.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +22.5 pts; past week: +22.5 pts; past month: +22.0 pts.

Since July 01, 2026, No has traded between 57.0% and 96.0%. It opened at 57.0% and last traded at 73.0%.

DayClose
Oct 17, 202695.0%
Oct 18, 202695.5%
Oct 19, 202695.5%
Oct 20, 202695.5%
Oct 22, 202695.5%
Oct 23, 202695.5%
Oct 24, 202673.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

No is favored at 73.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
No73¢73.0%-22.5 pts$712100.0%
Yes27¢27.0%+22.5 pts$712100.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 46¢ (bid 4¢ / ask 50¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$712 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that T-Mobile US (TMUS) will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX (SPCX), or vice versa, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying merger or acquisition must encompass both TMUS and SPCX or their subsidiaries. An announcement by TMUS or SPCX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. A bid or offer announcement without the indication of a settled agreement will not qualify. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company announces the acquisition of a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TMUS and SPCX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 263 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Darling-TopNo263$192
Tremendous-DivideYes162$44
Cheery-PreparationNo127$93
0x2f4fdbc7…Yes111$30
Belated-GlueYes107$29
Flashy-AuntYes15$4
Trivial-DressNo9$7
Wordy-DoctrineYes5$1
Arctic-KickoffNo5$4
Mortified-WetlandYes2$1

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $244 at 95.0%BUY Yes — $10 at 9.0%BUY No — $5 at 95.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 20, 08:31 AM ETYesBUY7.0%$1
Oct 09, 06:47 AM ETNoSELL94.0%$1
Oct 09, 06:47 AM ETNoBUY97.0%$1
Oct 02, 03:18 PM ETNoBUY95.0%$5
Sep 28, 12:00 PM ETYesSELL3.0%$0
Sep 28, 12:00 PM ETYesSELL3.0%$0
Sep 28, 12:00 PM ETYesSELL3.0%$1
Sep 28, 12:00 PM ETYesSELL3.0%$2
Sep 28, 12:00 PM ETYesSELL3.0%$1
Sep 28, 12:00 PM ETYesSELL3.0%$1

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of T-Mobile US & SpaceX merger/acquisition announced in 2026??

As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 73.0%. Next is Yes at 27.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/t-mobile-us-spacex-mergeracquisition-announced-in-2026-20260701221224490?via=bro

How much money has been traded on T-Mobile US & SpaceX merger/acquisition announced in 2026??

$712 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does T-Mobile US & SpaceX merger/acquisition announced in 2026? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of T-Mobile US & SpaceX merger/acquisition announced in 2026?, according to Polymarket traders?

No, priced at 73.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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