As of October 24, 2026, 09:14 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 73.0% in T-Mobile US & SpaceX merger/acquisition announced in 2026? — $712 traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 73.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +22.5 pts; past week: +22.5 pts; past month: +22.0 pts.
Since July 01, 2026, No has traded between 57.0% and 96.0%. It opened at 57.0% and last traded at 73.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 95.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 95.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 95.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 95.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 95.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 95.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 73.0% |
No is favored at 73.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 73¢ | 73.0% | -22.5 pts | $712 | 100.0% |
| Yes | 27¢ | 27.0% | +22.5 pts | $712 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 46¢ (bid 4¢ / ask 50¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$712 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that T-Mobile US (TMUS) will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX (SPCX), or vice versa, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying merger or acquisition must encompass both TMUS and SPCX or their subsidiaries. An announcement by TMUS or SPCX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. A bid or offer announcement without the indication of a settled agreement will not qualify. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company announces the acquisition of a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TMUS and SPCX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 263 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Darling-Top | No | 263 | $192 |
| Tremendous-Divide | Yes | 162 | $44 |
| Cheery-Preparation | No | 127 | $93 |
| 0x2f4fdbc7… | Yes | 111 | $30 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 107 | $29 |
| Flashy-Aunt | Yes | 15 | $4 |
| Trivial-Dress | No | 9 | $7 |
| Wordy-Doctrine | Yes | 5 | $1 |
| Arctic-Kickoff | No | 5 | $4 |
| Mortified-Wetland | Yes | 2 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 08:31 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 7.0% | $1 |
| Oct 09, 06:47 AM ET | No | SELL | 94.0% | $1 |
| Oct 09, 06:47 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.0% | $1 |
| Oct 02, 03:18 PM ET | No | BUY | 95.0% | $5 |
| Sep 28, 12:00 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.0% | $0 |
| Sep 28, 12:00 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.0% | $0 |
| Sep 28, 12:00 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.0% | $1 |
| Sep 28, 12:00 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.0% | $2 |
| Sep 28, 12:00 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.0% | $1 |
| Sep 28, 12:00 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 73.0%. Next is Yes at 27.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/t-mobile-us-spacex-mergeracquisition-announced-in-2026-20260701221224490?via=bro
$712 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 73.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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