As of October 24, 2026, 06:27 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Johnny Chiang at 75.0% in Taichung Mayor Election Winner — $27.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Johnny Chiang, is priced at 75.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +8.0 pts; past week: +2.0 pts; past month: -14.5 pts.
Since August 14, 2026, Johnny Chiang has traded between 66.5% and 91.0%. It opened at 89.5% and last traded at 75.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | 76.0% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 72.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 73.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 71.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 71.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 74.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 75.0% |
Johnny Chiang is favored at 75.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny Chiang | 75¢ | 75.0% | +8.0 pts | $11.0K | 40.5% |
| Candidate A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ho Hsin-chun | 24¢ | 23.9% | -9.0 pts | $13.8K | 50.5% |
| Yang Chiung-ying | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $2.4K | 9.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 73¢ / ask 77¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$27.2K has been traded on this event in total, $1.8K of it in the last 24 hours, across 30 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taichung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Resolution source: https://db.cec.gov.tw/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 5,306 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 5,306 | $1.3K |
| Well-Off-Singular | Yes | 1,243 | $932 |
| Elliptical-Shin-Neurobiologist | Yes | 701 | $525 |
| Disguised-Pajamas | Yes | 621 | $466 |
| Partial-Constellation | Yes | 534 | $400 |
| Uniform-Botany | Yes | 506 | $379 |
| Unfit-Hardboard | Yes | 435 | $326 |
| Liquid-Latex-Tension | Yes | 410 | $308 |
| Gullible-Serum | Yes | 300 | $225 |
| baybug | Yes | 292 | $219 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:09 PM ET | No | SELL | 23.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 03:41 PM ET | No | BUY | 77.4% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 03:26 PM ET | No | BUY | 26.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 03:26 PM ET | No | BUY | 26.0% | $20 |
| Oct 24, 02:26 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 76.0% | $122 |
| Oct 24, 02:26 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 74.9% | $179 |
| Oct 24, 09:10 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 27.5% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 09:10 AM ET | No | BUY | 76.0% | $38 |
| Oct 24, 09:09 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 71.4% | $500 |
| Oct 24, 09:09 AM ET | No | BUY | 70.7% | $32 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Johnny Chiang at 75.0%. Next is Candidate A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/taichung-mayor-election-winner-20260813125857400?via=bro
$27.2K in total volume, with $1.8K traded in the last 24 hours across 30 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://db.cec.gov.tw/.
Johnny Chiang, priced at 75.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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