As of October 24, 2026, 08:20 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Chen Ting-fei at 93.5% in Tainan Mayor Election Winner — $7.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Chen Ting-fei, is priced at 93.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +3.5 pts; past month: +5.0 pts.
Since August 14, 2026, Chen Ting-fei has traded between 33.0% and 93.5%. It opened at 33.0% and last traded at 93.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 88.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 89.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 90.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 93.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 93.5% |
Chen Ting-fei is favored at 93.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chen Ting-fei | 94¢ | 93.5% | — | $5.3K | 69.5% |
| Candidate A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Hsieh Lung-chieh | 5¢ | 4.7% | — | $1.7K | 22.7% |
| Lin Yi-feng | 3¢ | 2.7% | +0.1 pts | $314 | 4.1% |
| Lin Chun-hsien | 1¢ | 0.5% | — | $280 | 3.7% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 93¢ / ask 94¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$7.6K has been traded on this event in total, $9 of it in the last 24 hours, across 31 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Resolution source: https://db.cec.gov.tw/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,000 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Optimal-Miss | No | 1,000 | $65 |
| Tangible-Anesthesiology | Yes | 956 | $894 |
| Liquid-Latex-Tension | Yes | 430 | $402 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 292 | $19 |
| Crazy-Fishmonger | Yes | 211 | $197 |
| Grim-Garage | No | 204 | $13 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 145 | $9 |
| Primary-Agent | Yes | 99 | $93 |
| Plump-Implementation | No | 62 | $4 |
| Kaleidoscopic-Camp | Yes | 60 | $56 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 08:18 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 93.0% | $8 |
| Oct 22, 11:57 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 94.0% | $94 |
| Oct 22, 06:03 PM ET | No | BUY | 7.0% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 05:06 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 93.1% | $188 |
| Oct 22, 08:11 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 93.0% | $5 |
| Oct 22, 07:49 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 93.0% | $19 |
| Oct 22, 05:21 AM ET | No | SELL | 7.0% | $2 |
| Oct 21, 04:23 PM ET | No | SELL | 7.0% | $0 |
| Oct 21, 02:17 PM ET | No | SELL | 7.0% | $3 |
| Oct 21, 01:14 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 91.0% | $91 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Chen Ting-fei at 93.5%. Next is Candidate A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/tainan-mayor-election-winner-20260813125857500?via=bro
$7.6K in total volume, with $9 traded in the last 24 hours across 31 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://db.cec.gov.tw/.
Chen Ting-fei, priced at 93.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.