As of October 24, 2026, 08:16 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Wu Hsiu-hua at 73.5% in Taitung County Magistrate Election Winner — $15.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Wu Hsiu-hua, is priced at 73.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +1.5 pts; past month: -10.5 pts.
Since August 14, 2026, Wu Hsiu-hua has traded between 69.0% and 88.5%. It opened at 69.0% and last traded at 73.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 72.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 72.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 71.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 72.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 73.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 73.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 73.0% |
Wu Hsiu-hua is favored at 73.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wu Hsiu-hua | 74¢ | 73.5% | — | $6.8K | 45.2% |
| Candidate A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Chen Ying | 25¢ | 24.6% | +0.1 pts | $7.1K | 47.3% |
| Li Wu Ying-chih | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.1K | 7.5% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 72¢ / ask 75¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$15.0K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 30 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Resolution source: https://db.cec.gov.tw/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,818 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Awesome-Availability | No | 1,818 | $482 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 1,526 | $404 |
| Hideous-Racer | Yes | 1,438 | $1.1K |
| Tangible-Anesthesiology | Yes | 1,321 | $971 |
| Kaleidoscopic-Camp | Yes | 301 | $222 |
| Wan-Gymnastics | Yes | 227 | $167 |
| Punctual-Hydrogen | No | 145 | $38 |
| Skeletal-Liver | No | 141 | $37 |
| Stimulating-Frustration | Yes | 115 | $84 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 106 | $78 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 09:34 AM ET | No | BUY | 71.0% | $36 |
| Oct 22, 09:34 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 28.9% | $9 |
| Oct 21, 03:57 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 26.8% | $1 |
| Oct 21, 02:28 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 26.6% | $3 |
| Oct 20, 11:46 PM ET | No | BUY | 75.0% | $31 |
| Oct 20, 10:57 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 27.5% | $20 |
| Oct 19, 08:16 AM ET | No | BUY | 70.9% | $102 |
| Oct 19, 08:16 AM ET | No | BUY | 73.0% | $6 |
| Oct 16, 03:38 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 71.0% | $7 |
| Oct 16, 11:31 AM ET | No | SELL | 28.0% | $3 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Wu Hsiu-hua at 73.5%. Next is Candidate A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/taitung-county-magistrate-election-winner-202608131357161300?via=bro
$15.0K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 30 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://db.cec.gov.tw/.
Wu Hsiu-hua, priced at 73.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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