As of October 24, 2026, 06:32 PM ET, Polymarket traders price ↑ 70% at 45.0% in Talarico Texas Senate odds hit __ by November 2? — $15.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, ↑ 70%, is priced at 45.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +8.5 pts; past week: +12.0 pts.
Since October 16, 2026, ↑ 70% has traded between 17.5% and 56.5%. It opened at 32.5% and last traded at 31.0%.
↑ 70% is favored at 45.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 70% | 45¢ | 45.0% | +8.5 pts | $6.0K | 39.4% |
| ↑ 75% | 19¢ | 19.0% | -3.0 pts | $6.8K | 44.5% |
| ↑ 80% | 12¢ | 12.0% | +1.5 pts | $2.4K | 16.1% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 56¢ (bid 17¢ / ask 73¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$15.2K has been traded on this event in total, $999 of it in the last 24 hours, across 3 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 02, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the hourly odds value for James Talarico (D) in the "Texas Senate Election 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com meets or exceeds 70% for 4 consecutive hourly odds values, all published for a datapoint between market creation and November 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph on that option's detail page. Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent). An hour in which the hourly odds value for James Talarico (D) is below 70% ends any run of consecutive hourly odds values. Hours for which PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes no hourly odds value for James Talarico (D) (shown as "NO_PRINT") will be disregarded and will neither count toward nor end a run of consecutive hourly odds values. If PredictionMarketOdds.com permanently ceases publishing hourly odds values for James Talarico (D) in the "Texas Senate Election 2026" listing before November 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, including by removing James Talarico (D) from the listing, this market will resolve based on the hourly odds values published up to that point. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 773 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Quarrelsome-Filth | Yes | 773 | $348 |
| Unselfish-Mineral-Sunday | No | 500 | $275 |
| Cheery-Watchmaker | Yes | 369 | $166 |
| Partial-Adrenalin | No | 315 | $173 |
| Well-Informed-Ischemia | No | 315 | $173 |
| Sociable-Flint | Yes | 300 | $135 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 212 | $117 |
| Experienced-Smell-Railroad | No | 167 | $92 |
| Babyish-Starboard | Yes | 160 | $72 |
| Which-Victim | Yes | 143 | $64 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:00 PM ET | No | BUY | 81.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 04:05 PM ET | No | BUY | 81.0% | $56 |
| Oct 24, 10:16 AM ET | No | BUY | 86.0% | $52 |
| Oct 24, 12:49 AM ET | No | BUY | 81.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 12:49 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 18.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 12:47 AM ET | No | SELL | 82.0% | $26 |
| Oct 24, 12:46 AM ET | No | SELL | 82.0% | $16 |
| Oct 24, 12:45 AM ET | No | BUY | 81.0% | $49 |
| Oct 24, 12:45 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 17.9% | $11 |
| Oct 24, 12:45 AM ET | No | BUY | 78.0% | $38 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is ↑ 70% at 45.0%. Next is ↑ 75% at 19.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/talarico-texas-senate-odds-hit-by-november-2?via=bro
$15.2K in total volume, with $999 traded in the last 24 hours across 3 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 02, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
↑ 70%, priced at 45.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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