As of October 24, 2026, 07:49 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Loranne Ausley at 64.5% in Tallahassee Mayoral Election Winner — $153.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Loranne Ausley, is priced at 64.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +11.0 pts; past month: +14.0 pts.
Since June 02, 2026, Loranne Ausley has traded between 32.0% and 68.0%. It opened at 41.5% and last traded at 54.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | 55.5% |
| Oct 13, 2026 | 55.0% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 54.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 54.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 54.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 55.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 54.5% |
Loranne Ausley is favored at 64.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loranne Ausley | 64¢ | 64.5% | — | $95.8K | 62.6% |
| Candidate A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Matlow | 35¢ | 34.7% | +0.2 pts | $17.6K | 11.5% |
| Daryl Parks | 1¢ | 1.1% | — | $11.9K | 7.8% |
| Al Lawson | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $22.6K | 14.8% |
| Michael Foust | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $5.1K | 3.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 63¢ / ask 66¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$153.1K has been traded on this event in total, $78 of it in the last 24 hours, across 12 markets.
This market is scheduled to end August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 5,500 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 5,500 | $2.0K |
| Each-Jeans | Yes | 2,409 | $1.6K |
| Wan-Gymnastics | Yes | 958 | $618 |
| Obvious-Geyser-Cutlet | Yes | 951 | $613 |
| Crazy-Fishmonger | Yes | 603 | $389 |
| Known-Use | No | 475 | $168 |
| Velvety-Burn | No | 448 | $159 |
| Overlooked-Wrapping | Yes | 400 | $258 |
| Wilted-Burden-Survivor | Yes | 400 | $258 |
| Scared-Administrator | Yes | 385 | $248 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:55 AM ET | No | SELL | 64.1% | $46 |
| Oct 24, 06:03 AM ET | No | BUY | 64.8% | $4 |
| Oct 23, 12:55 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 67.0% | $8 |
| Oct 23, 12:54 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 68.0% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 12:54 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 68.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 12:54 PM ET | No | BUY | 33.0% | $7 |
| Oct 23, 12:27 PM ET | No | BUY | 32.0% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 12:27 PM ET | No | SELL | 32.0% | $2 |
| Oct 22, 02:06 PM ET | No | BUY | 34.0% | $5 |
| Oct 22, 02:06 PM ET | No | BUY | 33.0% | $14 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Loranne Ausley at 64.5%. Next is Candidate A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/tallahassee-mayoral-election-winner-20260602161603006?via=bro
$153.1K in total volume, with $78 traded in the last 24 hours across 12 markets.
The market is scheduled to end August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Loranne Ausley, priced at 64.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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