As of October 24, 2026, 06:32 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Chang San-cheng at 88.0% in Taoyuan Mayor Election Winner — $28.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Chang San-cheng, is priced at 88.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.0 pts; past week: -2.0 pts; past month: -2.5 pts.
Since August 14, 2026, Chang San-cheng has traded between 77.5% and 94.5%. It opened at 88.5% and last traded at 88.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 90.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 90.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 83.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 84.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 83.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 86.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 88.0% |
Chang San-cheng is favored at 88.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chang San-cheng | 88¢ | 88.0% | +1.0 pts | $18.1K | 64.2% |
| Candidate A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Huang Shih-chieh | 12¢ | 12.3% | -1.4 pts | $8.8K | 31.3% |
| Perng Shaw-jiin | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.3K | 4.5% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 86¢ / ask 90¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$28.2K has been traded on this event in total, $868 of it in the last 24 hours, across 30 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Resolution source: https://db.cec.gov.tw/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 5,847 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 5,847 | $702 |
| Wan-Gymnastics | Yes | 1,776 | $1.6K |
| Hideous-Racer | Yes | 1,569 | $1.4K |
| Monstrous-Dew | Yes | 1,259 | $1.1K |
| Liquid-Latex-Tension | Yes | 755 | $665 |
| baybug | Yes | 454 | $400 |
| Partial-Constellation | Yes | 412 | $363 |
| Punctual-Hydrogen | No | 168 | $20 |
| Worst-Illiteracy | No | 167 | $20 |
| Perfumed-Moat | Yes | 81 | $71 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 02:31 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 90.0% | $135 |
| Oct 24, 02:31 PM ET | No | BUY | 89.8% | $43 |
| Oct 24, 02:31 PM ET | No | BUY | 89.8% | $35 |
| Oct 24, 02:31 PM ET | No | BUY | 89.8% | $27 |
| Oct 24, 02:31 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 89.0% | $289 |
| Oct 24, 02:08 PM ET | No | SELL | 12.0% | $6 |
| Oct 23, 10:05 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 10.7% | $5 |
| Oct 23, 09:12 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 89.0% | $27 |
| Oct 23, 09:11 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 88.0% | $51 |
| Oct 23, 09:11 PM ET | No | BUY | 87.9% | $51 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Chang San-cheng at 88.0%. Next is Candidate A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/taoyuan-mayor-election-winner-20260813125857300?via=bro
$28.2K in total volume, with $868 traded in the last 24 hours across 30 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://db.cec.gov.tw/.
Chang San-cheng, priced at 88.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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