Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Taraba, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

As of October 24, 2026, 08:20 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Agbu Kefas at 77.6% in Taraba, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — $8.2K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $30.
Leading outcome
Agbu Kefas
78%
A 77.6% price implies roughly a 78-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −0.9 pts7D +2.9 pts30D +2.8 pts
Agbu Kefas77.6%
Candidate A50.0%
Bid
76¢
Ask
79¢
Spread
3¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since August 21, 2026: 53.6% – 78.6% · Opened at 73.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Taraba, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Category
africa, Nigeria, Politics, Elections, Main Election, Global Elections, Nigerian Election, Nigerian Governor Election
Scheduled end
February 06, 2027, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$8.2K
Volume (24h)
$30
Liquidity
$67.6K
Markets
31
Leading outcome
Agbu Kefas — 77.6%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Agbu Kefas, is priced at 77.6%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.9 pts; past week: +2.9 pts; past month: +2.8 pts.

Since August 21, 2026, Agbu Kefas has traded between 53.6% and 78.6%. It opened at 73.5% and last traded at 77.0%.

DayClose
Oct 15, 202673.6%
Oct 16, 202672.3%
Oct 18, 202673.9%
Oct 19, 202674.4%
Oct 20, 202678.6%
Oct 23, 202678.1%
Oct 24, 202677.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Agbu Kefas is favored at 77.6%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Agbu Kefas78¢77.6%-0.9 pts$4.3K52.4%
Candidate A50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate B50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate C50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate D50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate E50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate F50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate G50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate H50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate I50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate J50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate K50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate L50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate M50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate N50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate O50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate P50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate Q50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate R50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate S50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate T50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate U50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate V50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate W50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate X50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate Y50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate Z50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Other50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Emmanuel Bwacha20¢19.5%+0.5 pts$3.7K44.7%
Aboki Stephen Bayonga3¢3.2%+0.5 pts$1371.7%
Shiddi Usman Danjuma3¢2.8%+0.1 pts$1001.2%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 76¢ / ask 79¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$8.2K has been traded on this event in total, $30 of it in the last 24 hours, across 31 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end February 06, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Taraba State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Taraba State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 540 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Fearful-CongressYes540$419
Known-UseNo151$34
Weepy-BidetNo140$31
Direct-ChainstayNo88$20
0xa5ef39c3…No84$19
Fat-Fat-HourglassNo73$16
Awesome-AvailabilityYes61$47
Scared-AdministratorYes43$33
Unique-DinnerYes38$29
Belated-GlueNo28$6

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $269 at 78.7%BUY Yes — $182 at 59.8%BUY Yes — $160 at 67.8%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 23, 09:23 PM ETNoBUY22.8%$1
Oct 23, 09:23 PM ETNoBUY82.0%$4
Oct 23, 09:23 PM ETYesBUY4.0%$0
Oct 23, 03:56 PM ETNoSELL82.0%$14
Oct 23, 02:09 PM ETYesBUY78.6%$4
Oct 23, 02:09 PM ETNoBUY81.0%$4
Oct 23, 02:09 PM ETNoBUY97.9%$5
Oct 22, 05:12 AM ETYesBUY13.0%$2
Oct 21, 01:46 PM ETYesBUY11.0%$6
Oct 20, 05:27 AM ETNoBUY82.0%$10

Related markets

More Politics

Brazil Presidential Election

Flávio Bolsonaro 83.8% · 24H VOL $2.01M

Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia 71.5% · 24H VOL $649.0K

Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Taraba, Nigeria Governor Election Winner?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Agbu Kefas at 77.6%. Next is Candidate A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/taraba-nigeria-governor-election-winner?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Taraba, Nigeria Governor Election Winner?

$8.2K in total volume, with $30 traded in the last 24 hours across 31 markets.

When does Taraba, Nigeria Governor Election Winner end?

The market is scheduled to end February 06, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Taraba, Nigeria Governor Election Winner, according to Polymarket traders?

Agbu Kefas, priced at 77.6% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

Trade it on Polymarket

Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.

Sign Up on Polymarket

New here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.