As of October 24, 2026, 08:07 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Up at 89.5% in Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026? — $26.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Up, is priced at 89.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.5 pts; past month: -1.0 pts.
Since March 20, 2026, Up has traded between 58.0% and 93.5%. It opened at 58.0% and last traded at 89.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 89.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 89.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 89.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 88.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 89.5% |
Up is favored at 89.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Up | 90¢ | 89.5% | +1.5 pts | $26.0K | 100.0% |
| Down | 10¢ | 10.5% | -1.5 pts | $26.0K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 11¢ (bid 84¢ / ask 95¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$26.0K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs). This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026. If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total. Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered. This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL). Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolution source: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 100 shares of Up.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Composed-Embellishment | Up | 100 | $90 |
| Ill-Informed-Tan | Down | 87 | $9 |
| Slow-Exhibit | Up | 67 | $60 |
| Bouncy-Saving | Down | 65 | $7 |
| mskl | Up | 60 | $54 |
| Reckless-Drizzle | Down | 50 | $5 |
| Aromatic-Carter | Up | 40 | $36 |
| Essential-Interchange | Up | 39 | $35 |
| Required-Rocker | Down | 37 | $4 |
| Each-Summary | Up | 37 | $33 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 06:03 AM ET | Up | SELL | 81.0% | $1 |
| Oct 13, 03:39 AM ET | Down | SELL | 2.0% | $0 |
| Oct 12, 04:02 AM ET | Down | SELL | 2.0% | $0 |
| Oct 04, 06:29 PM ET | Down | BUY | 18.5% | $2 |
| Sep 12, 08:07 AM ET | Up | SELL | 82.0% | $7 |
| Sep 12, 08:01 AM ET | Up | SELL | 82.0% | $10 |
| Sep 12, 08:01 AM ET | Up | SELL | 82.0% | $8 |
| Aug 20, 05:59 PM ET | Up | BUY | 87.6% | $24 |
| Aug 19, 02:54 PM ET | Up | BUY | 86.0% | $34 |
| Aug 15, 03:34 AM ET | Up | SELL | 73.0% | $9 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Up at 89.5%. Next is Down at 10.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/tech-layoffs-up-or-down-in-2026?via=bro
$26.0K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL.
Up, priced at 89.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.