As of October 24, 2026, 06:33 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 160-179 at 40.0% in Ted Cruz # posts October 20 - October 27, 2026? — $9.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 160-179, is priced at 40.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -12.0 pts; past week: +3.0 pts.
Since October 18, 2026, 160-179 has traded between 22.0% and 52.0%. It opened at 28.5% and last traded at 40.0%.
160-179 is favored at 40.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 160-179 | 40¢ | 40.0% | -12.0 pts | $2.2K | 22.1% |
| 140-159 | 30¢ | 30.5% | — | $882 | 9.0% |
| 180-199 | 19¢ | 18.6% | +2.9 pts | $320 | 3.3% |
| 120-139 | 14¢ | 13.5% | -1.5 pts | $2.8K | 28.7% |
| 200+ | 4¢ | 3.5% | -5.2 pts | $411 | 4.2% |
| 100-119 | 1¢ | 0.7% | -9.3 pts | $972 | 9.9% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 24¢ (bid 28¢ / ask 52¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$9.8K has been traded on this event in total, $811 of it in the last 24 hours, across 6 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between October 20, 12:00 PM ET and October 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution source: https://x.com/tedcruz
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 577 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Virtual-Subroutine-Font | Yes | 577 | $231 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 301 | $180 |
| Known-Use | No | 223 | $134 |
| False-Relaxation | No | 219 | $131 |
| Past-Disguise | Yes | 108 | $43 |
| Brief-Taxpayer | Yes | 30 | $12 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 27 | $11 |
| Charming-Kidney-Imagination | Yes | 20 | $8 |
| Upright-Leash-Shift | No | 20 | $12 |
| Apt-Antecedent | No | 20 | $12 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 12:16 PM ET | No | SELL | 50.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 12:58 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 42.0% | $53 |
| Oct 23, 02:53 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 10.3% | $6 |
| Oct 23, 11:00 AM ET | No | BUY | 59.0% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 05:31 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 11.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 12:52 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 17.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 12:52 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 17.0% | $6 |
| Oct 22, 03:58 PM ET | No | SELL | 72.0% | $4 |
| Oct 22, 03:28 PM ET | No | SELL | 72.0% | $4 |
| Oct 22, 01:58 PM ET | No | SELL | 72.0% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is 160-179 at 40.0%. Next is 140-159 at 30.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ted-cruz-of-tweets-october-20-october-27-2026?via=bro
$9.8K in total volume, with $811 traded in the last 24 hours across 6 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://x.com/tedcruz.
160-179, priced at 40.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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