As of October 24, 2026, 06:29 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 140-159 at 56.0% in Ted Cruz # posts October 23 - October 30, 2026? — $7.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 140-159, is priced at 56.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +35.5 pts.
Since October 20, 2026, 140-159 has traded between 19.5% and 35.0%. It opened at 19.5% and last traded at 35.0%.
140-159 is favored at 56.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 140-159 | 56¢ | 56.0% | +35.5 pts | $1.7K | 21.1% |
| 120-139 | 22¢ | 22.5% | -7.5 pts | $1.4K | 17.1% |
| 160-179 | 18¢ | 18.0% | -18.0 pts | $966 | 12.2% |
| 100-119 | 10¢ | 10.0% | -5.0 pts | $726 | 9.1% |
| 180-199 | 7¢ | 6.8% | -0.2 pts | $534 | 6.7% |
| 200+ | 5¢ | 5.5% | -35.9 pts | $588 | 7.4% |
| 80-99 | 2¢ | 2.1% | -4.3 pts | $548 | 6.9% |
| 60-79 | 0¢ | 0.5% | -0.7 pts | $271 | 3.4% |
| 40-59 | 0¢ | 0.4% | -0.3 pts | $393 | 5.0% |
| 20-39 | 0¢ | 0.2% | -0.2 pts | $381 | 4.8% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 24¢ (bid 44¢ / ask 68¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$7.9K has been traded on this event in total, $1.3K of it in the last 24 hours, across 10 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between October 23, 12:00 PM ET and October 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution source: https://x.com/tedcruz
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 713 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Virtual-Subroutine-Font | Yes | 713 | $399 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 517 | $227 |
| False-Relaxation | No | 237 | $104 |
| Known-Use | No | 64 | $28 |
| Brief-Taxpayer | Yes | 60 | $34 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 58 | $26 |
| Euphoric-Talk | Yes | 50 | $28 |
| Remarkable-Underpass | No | 40 | $18 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 40 | $22 |
| Impish-Disparity | Yes | 40 | $22 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:27 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 44.0% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 05:27 PM ET | No | BUY | 52.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 02:06 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 33.7% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 09:40 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 30.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 08:36 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 18.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 08:36 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 18.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 08:28 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 32.6% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 08:16 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 30.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 08:16 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 19.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 08:14 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 19.0% | $9 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is 140-159 at 56.0%. Next is 120-139 at 22.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ted-cruz-of-tweets-october-23-october-30-2026?via=bro
$7.9K in total volume, with $1.3K traded in the last 24 hours across 10 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://x.com/tedcruz.
140-159, priced at 56.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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