Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Tennessee Governor Election Winner

As of October 24, 2026, 08:12 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Marsha Blackburn (R) at 94.8% in Tennessee Governor Election Winner — $22.9K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $350.
Leading outcome
Marsha Blackburn (R)
95%
A 94.8% price implies roughly a 95-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +0.4 pts7D +2.4 pts30D −1.5 pts
Marsha Blackburn (R)94.8%
Jerri Green (D)3.9%
Bid
94¢
Ask
95¢
Spread
1¢
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Range since October 13, 2025: 52.5% – 96.8% · Opened at 52.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Tennessee Governor Election Winner
Category
Tennessee Midterm, Governor Elections, Midterms, Elections, US Election, Politics
Scheduled end
November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$22.9K
Volume (24h)
$350
Liquidity
$109.0K
Markets
13
Leading outcome
Marsha Blackburn (R) — 94.8%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Marsha Blackburn (R), is priced at 94.8%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.4 pts; past week: +2.4 pts; past month: -1.5 pts.

Since October 13, 2025, Marsha Blackburn (R) has traded between 52.5% and 96.8%. It opened at 52.5% and last traded at 94.3%.

DayClose
Oct 15, 202693.0%
Oct 16, 202692.5%
Oct 18, 202693.2%
Oct 19, 202693.3%
Oct 20, 202693.8%
Oct 22, 202694.1%
Oct 23, 202694.3%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Marsha Blackburn (R) is favored at 94.8%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Marsha Blackburn (R)95¢94.8%+0.4 pts$11.6K50.6%
Jerri Green (D)4¢3.9%-0.1 pts$11.3K49.4%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 94¢ / ask 95¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$22.9K has been traded on this event in total, $350 of it in the last 24 hours, across 13 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,003 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
0xa5ef39c3…No2,003$105
Cuddly-FolderYes1,162$1.1K
Tart-LavaYes888$841
Wooden-PrescriptionYes668$633
Crazy-FishmongerNo641$34
Cheery-PreparationYes541$512
Rubbery-PolicyNo352$19
Mysterious-IrisYes250$237
Belated-GlueNo237$12
Lighthearted-RelationNo180$9

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $357 at 92.9%BUY Yes — $200 at 93.6%BUY Yes — $85 at 94.6%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 03:23 PM ETYesSELL93.5%$1
Oct 24, 03:10 PM ETNoBUY6.5%$1
Oct 24, 03:10 PM ETNoBUY6.3%$10
Oct 24, 03:10 PM ETNoBUY6.3%$1
Oct 24, 03:10 PM ETNoBUY6.3%$3
Oct 24, 03:10 PM ETNoBUY6.3%$4
Oct 24, 03:10 PM ETNoBUY6.3%$3
Oct 24, 09:57 AM ETNoBUY5.7%$1
Oct 23, 07:48 PM ETYesBUY4.7%$1
Oct 23, 05:37 PM ETYesSELL93.9%$6

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Tennessee Governor Election Winner?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Marsha Blackburn (R) at 94.8%. Next is Jerri Green (D) at 3.9%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/tennessee-governor-winner-2026?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Tennessee Governor Election Winner?

$22.9K in total volume, with $350 traded in the last 24 hours across 13 markets.

When does Tennessee Governor Election Winner end?

The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Tennessee Governor Election Winner, according to Polymarket traders?

Marsha Blackburn (R), priced at 94.8% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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