As of October 24, 2026, 07:56 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Grand Theft Auto VI at 72.5% in The Game Awards: Best Game Direction — $63.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Grand Theft Auto VI, is priced at 72.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.2 pts; past week: +0.9 pts; past month: +26.7 pts.
Since August 05, 2026, Grand Theft Auto VI has traded between 4.3% and 73.7%. It opened at 4.3% and last traded at 72.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 38.8% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 60.9% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 69.7% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 72.4% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 71.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 73.7% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 72.5% |
Grand Theft Auto VI is favored at 72.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grand Theft Auto VI | 72¢ | 72.5% | -0.2 pts | $31.9K | 50.7% |
| Game A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Control Resonant | 10¢ | 9.8% | -1.8 pts | $4.4K | 7.0% |
| Pragmata | 8¢ | 8.0% | +0.5 pts | $6.3K | 9.9% |
| The Blood of Dawnwalker | 5¢ | 5.3% | +0.3 pts | $1.4K | 2.2% |
| Resident Evil Requiem | 4¢ | 3.5% | — | $2.9K | 4.6% |
| Saros | 3¢ | 3.2% | — | $2.2K | 3.5% |
| 007 First Light | 2¢ | 1.6% | -0.2 pts | $818 | 1.3% |
| Silent Hill: Townfall | 1¢ | 0.8% | -0.2 pts | $557 | 0.9% |
| Titanium Court | 1¢ | 0.8% | — | $462 | 0.7% |
| Pokémon Pokopia | 1¢ | 0.7% | +0.4 pts | $1.2K | 2.0% |
| Esoteric Ebb | 0¢ | 0.4% | +0.1 pts | $461 | 0.7% |
| Mina the Hollower | 0¢ | 0.3% | — | $429 | 0.7% |
| Marvel's Wolverine | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $1.4K | 2.2% |
| Mixtape | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $872 | 1.4% |
| Onimusha: Way of the Sword | 0¢ | 0.2% | +0.1 pts | $443 | 0.7% |
| Crimson Desert | 0¢ | 0.2% | -0.1 pts | $1.5K | 2.4% |
| Schrödinger's Call | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $372 | 0.6% |
| Cairn | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $585 | 0.9% |
| The Duskbloods | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $355 | 0.6% |
| Mewgenics | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $478 | 0.8% |
| Forza Horizon 6 | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $400 | 0.6% |
| Gears of War: E-Day | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $2.3K | 3.7% |
| OPUS: Prism Peak | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $489 | 0.8% |
| Reanimal | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $742 | 1.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 9¢ (bid 68¢ / ask 77¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$63.0K has been traded on this event in total, $288 of it in the last 24 hours, across 51 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The Game Awards are presented annually to honor achievements in the video game industry. The 2026 Game Awards are currently scheduled to be presented on December 10, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Best Game Direction. If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Best Game Direction when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://thegameawards.com/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 4,937 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Decimal-Covariate | Yes | 4,937 | $3.6K |
| Remarkable-Underpass | No | 3,156 | $868 |
| Quizzical-Hire | No | 2,304 | $634 |
| Complex-Insert | Yes | 1,891 | $1.4K |
| Shallow-Vitro | Yes | 1,242 | $900 |
| Repentant-Graphic | No | 1,066 | $293 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 1,026 | $282 |
| Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse | No | 540 | $148 |
| Hot-Academy | Yes | 339 | $246 |
| Unlined-Pole | No | 270 | $74 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:06 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 68.0% | $136 |
| Oct 22, 02:54 PM ET | No | BUY | 24.2% | $7 |
| Oct 22, 05:39 AM ET | No | SELL | 20.7% | $5 |
| Oct 22, 05:39 AM ET | No | BUY | 93.8% | $25 |
| Oct 22, 05:39 AM ET | No | BUY | 91.1% | $24 |
| Oct 22, 05:38 AM ET | No | SELL | 23.4% | $3 |
| Oct 22, 01:50 AM ET | No | BUY | 26.5% | $46 |
| Oct 19, 11:06 PM ET | No | SELL | 23.3% | $1 |
| Oct 19, 08:25 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 7.5% | $10 |
| Oct 19, 08:25 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 65.1% | $60 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Grand Theft Auto VI at 72.5%. Next is Game A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/the-game-awards-best-game-direction-20260804145650?via=bro
$63.0K in total volume, with $288 traded in the last 24 hours across 51 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://thegameawards.com/.
Grand Theft Auto VI, priced at 72.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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