As of October 24, 2026, 08:03 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Grand Theft Auto VI at 56.0% in The Game Awards: Best Narrative — $35.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Grand Theft Auto VI, is priced at 56.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.5 pts; past week: +1.0 pts; past month: +20.0 pts.
Since August 05, 2026, Grand Theft Auto VI has traded between 7.0% and 57.5%. It opened at 7.0% and last traded at 56.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 50.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 50.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 53.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 55.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 54.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 56.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 56.0% |
Grand Theft Auto VI is favored at 56.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grand Theft Auto VI | 56¢ | 56.0% | +1.5 pts | $16.5K | 46.5% |
| Game A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| The Blood of Dawnwalker | 11¢ | 11.3% | +0.4 pts | $3.9K | 11.0% |
| 007 First Light | 10¢ | 10.0% | -2.0 pts | $5.5K | 15.4% |
| Silent Hill: Townfall | 8¢ | 8.5% | +0.3 pts | $2.9K | 8.2% |
| Resident Evil Requiem | 4¢ | 3.8% | — | $172 | 0.5% |
| Mixtape | 4¢ | 3.6% | — | $257 | 0.7% |
| Phonopolis | 3¢ | 3.2% | +2.1 pts | $272 | 0.8% |
| Schrödinger's Call | 3¢ | 2.8% | — | $210 | 0.6% |
| Control Resonant | 2¢ | 2.2% | — | $1.0K | 2.9% |
| Marvel's Wolverine | 2¢ | 1.5% | -0.1 pts | $550 | 1.5% |
| Titanium Court | 1¢ | 1.4% | — | $189 | 0.5% |
| The Sinking City 2 | 1¢ | 1.1% | — | $1.3K | 3.8% |
| Mouse: P.I. For Hire | 1¢ | 1.1% | — | $428 | 1.2% |
| OPUS: Prism Peak | 1¢ | 1.0% | — | $168 | 0.5% |
| Life Is Strange: Reunion | 1¢ | 1.0% | -0.1 pts | $374 | 1.1% |
| Resonance: A Plague Tale Legacy | 1¢ | 1.0% | -0.1 pts | $344 | 1.0% |
| Fire Emblem: Fortune's Weave | 1¢ | 1.0% | — | $168 | 0.5% |
| Esoteric Ebb | 1¢ | 0.9% | — | $200 | 0.6% |
| Onimusha: Way of the Sword | 1¢ | 0.9% | — | $168 | 0.5% |
| Pragmata | 1¢ | 0.8% | -0.1 pts | $184 | 0.5% |
| Wax Heads | 1¢ | 0.7% | — | $166 | 0.5% |
| Reanimal | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $466 | 1.3% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 55¢ / ask 57¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$35.5K has been traded on this event in total, $122 of it in the last 24 hours, across 49 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The Game Awards are presented annually to honor achievements in the video game industry. The 2026 Game Awards are currently scheduled to be presented on December 10, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Best Narrative. If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Best Narrative when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://thegameawards.com/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 776 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot-Academy | Yes | 776 | $434 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 599 | $264 |
| Full-Variability | No | 336 | $148 |
| Each-Summary | Yes | 290 | $162 |
| Watery-Subset | No | 256 | $112 |
| Red-Heavy | Yes | 200 | $112 |
| Quizzical-Hire | No | 161 | $71 |
| Evil-Row | Yes | 136 | $76 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | No | 122 | $54 |
| Cool-Pattypan | Yes | 110 | $61 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:46 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 55.0% | $11 |
| Oct 24, 09:19 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 12.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 07:25 AM ET | No | BUY | 43.0% | $15 |
| Oct 23, 07:41 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 48.0% | $19 |
| Oct 23, 01:30 PM ET | No | BUY | 45.0% | $4 |
| Oct 23, 01:30 PM ET | No | BUY | 43.0% | $8 |
| Oct 23, 10:06 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 56.0% | $11 |
| Oct 23, 09:52 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 49.0% | $9 |
| Oct 23, 09:15 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 12.0% | $5 |
| Oct 23, 09:15 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 10.0% | $11 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Grand Theft Auto VI at 56.0%. Next is Game A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/the-game-awards-best-narrative-20260804145650?via=bro
$35.5K in total volume, with $122 traded in the last 24 hours across 49 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://thegameawards.com/.
Grand Theft Auto VI, priced at 56.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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