As of October 24, 2026, 06:26 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Grand Theft Auto VI at 84.5% in The Game Awards: Game of the Year — $100.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Grand Theft Auto VI, is priced at 84.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past week: +6.0 pts; past month: +14.0 pts.
Since August 04, 2026, Grand Theft Auto VI has traded between 41.0% and 84.5%. It opened at 41.0% and last traded at 84.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | 61.0% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 71.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 76.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 78.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 79.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 81.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 84.5% |
Grand Theft Auto VI is favored at 84.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grand Theft Auto VI | 84¢ | 84.5% | +0.5 pts | $63.2K | 62.7% |
| Game A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Resident Evil Requiem | 10¢ | 9.5% | +0.5 pts | $11.4K | 11.3% |
| Phantom Blade Zero | 3¢ | 3.4% | +0.6 pts | $2.4K | 2.4% |
| Control Resonant | 1¢ | 1.4% | -0.4 pts | $1.9K | 1.9% |
| Pragmata | 1¢ | 1.1% | +0.1 pts | $1.5K | 1.5% |
| 007 First Light | 1¢ | 0.5% | -0.1 pts | $1.1K | 1.1% |
| Marvel's Wolverine | 0¢ | 0.5% | -0.5 pts | $1.7K | 1.6% |
| Crimson Desert | 0¢ | 0.4% | -0.4 pts | $1.6K | 1.6% |
| Slay the Spire 2 | 0¢ | 0.4% | -0.9 pts | $3.3K | 3.3% |
| Onimusha: Way of the Sword | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $1.6K | 1.6% |
| Esoteric Ebb | 0¢ | 0.2% | -0.1 pts | $758 | 0.8% |
| Half-Life 3 | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $863 | 0.9% |
| Fable | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $751 | 0.7% |
| The Duskbloods | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $969 | 1.0% |
| Marathon | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $815 | 0.8% |
| Stranger Than Heaven | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $826 | 0.8% |
| Nioh 3 | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $695 | 0.7% |
| Forza Horizon 6 | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $837 | 0.8% |
| Mouse: P.I. For Hire | 0¢ | 0.1% | -0.1 pts | $772 | 0.8% |
| Saros | 0¢ | 0.1% | -0.1 pts | $711 | 0.7% |
| Cairn | 0¢ | 0.1% | -0.1 pts | $805 | 0.8% |
| Reanimal | 0¢ | 0.1% | -0.1 pts | $769 | 0.8% |
| Exodus | 0¢ | 0.1% | -0.1 pts | $777 | 0.8% |
| Gears of War: E-Day | 0¢ | 0.1% | -0.1 pts | $786 | 0.8% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 84¢ / ask 85¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$100.8K has been traded on this event in total, $3.2K of it in the last 24 hours, across 51 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The Game Awards are presented annually to honor achievements in the video game industry. The 2026 Game Awards are currently scheduled to be presented on December 10, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year. If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://thegameawards.com/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,382 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fluid-Commotion | Yes | 2,382 | $2.0K |
| Previous-Prefix-Crust | Yes | 2,377 | $2.0K |
| Blissful-Career | No | 1,912 | $296 |
| Attractive-Radiator | Yes | 1,767 | $1.5K |
| Awesome-Availability | No | 1,659 | $257 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 1,237 | $192 |
| Spotted-Chairlift | No | 1,088 | $169 |
| Far-Flung-Transom | Yes | 1,084 | $916 |
| Full-Variability | No | 987 | $153 |
| Quizzical-Hire | No | 889 | $138 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:02 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 84.0% | $118 |
| Oct 24, 04:35 PM ET | No | BUY | 91.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 04:35 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.7% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 04:35 PM ET | No | BUY | 16.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 04:34 PM ET | No | BUY | 16.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 04:34 PM ET | No | BUY | 91.0% | $11 |
| Oct 24, 04:34 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.7% | $12 |
| Oct 24, 04:33 PM ET | No | BUY | 91.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 04:33 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.7% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 04:33 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.7% | $10 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Grand Theft Auto VI at 84.5%. Next is Game A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/the-game-awards-game-of-the-year-20260804145650?via=bro
$100.8K in total volume, with $3.2K traded in the last 24 hours across 51 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://thegameawards.com/.
Grand Theft Auto VI, priced at 84.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
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