As of October 24, 2026, 08:21 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 65m-75m at 34.5% in "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office — $7.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 65m-75m, is priced at 34.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -2.0 pts; past week: +22.0 pts.
Since October 14, 2026, 65m-75m has traded between 11.5% and 35.5%. It opened at 20.0% and last traded at 35.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 32.0% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 11.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 15.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 25.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 27.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 30.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 35.5% |
65m-75m is favored at 34.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65m-75m | 34¢ | 34.5% | -2.0 pts | $2.0K | 27.4% |
| <65m | 26¢ | 26.5% | +1.5 pts | $2.3K | 30.9% |
| 75m-85m | 16¢ | 15.5% | +0.5 pts | $1.1K | 15.3% |
| 105m+ | 9¢ | 8.8% | -0.2 pts | $770 | 10.5% |
| 85m-95m | 8¢ | 8.5% | -1.5 pts | $705 | 9.6% |
| 95m-105m | 6¢ | 5.5% | -0.1 pts | $464 | 6.3% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 34¢ / ask 35¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$7.3K has been traded on this event in total, $375 of it in the last 24 hours, across 6 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 22, 2026, 07:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (November 20 - 22) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by November 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 247 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 247 | $162 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 214 | $74 |
| 0x46299616… | Yes | 30 | $10 |
| Bowed-Wall | No | 27 | $18 |
| Rowdy-Tenement | Yes | 27 | $9 |
| Honored-Honoree | No | 23 | $15 |
| Bewitched-Auditorium | No | 21 | $14 |
| Standard-Jackal | Yes | 20 | $7 |
| Direct-Chainstay | Yes | 18 | $6 |
| Old-Fashioned-Handholding-Viscose | No | 15 | $10 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:32 PM ET | No | SELL | 84.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 06:06 PM ET | No | BUY | 86.0% | $23 |
| Oct 24, 06:06 PM ET | No | BUY | 86.0% | $20 |
| Oct 24, 06:06 PM ET | No | BUY | 86.0% | $44 |
| Oct 24, 06:06 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 14.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 07:59 AM ET | No | BUY | 75.0% | $38 |
| Oct 24, 07:59 AM ET | No | BUY | 74.0% | $37 |
| Oct 24, 07:59 AM ET | No | BUY | 73.0% | $36 |
| Oct 24, 05:04 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 25.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 05:04 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 26.0% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is 65m-75m at 34.5%. Next is <65m at 26.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/the-hunger-games-sunrise-on-the-reaping-opening-weekend-box-office?via=bro
$7.3K in total volume, with $375 traded in the last 24 hours across 6 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 22, 2026, 07:00 AM ET.
65m-75m, priced at 34.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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